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Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/25/2024

Iberdrola is the strategic benchmark in the universe of integrated utilities. Since 2001, the group has pursued a resilient strategy of profitable growth (renewables and networks), geographic expansion and attractive shareholder returns (TSR average annual of 17.9%). But based on the strong share's performance and the low residual upside on our target price of € 15.30, we have lowered our rating to Neutral vs Outperform. - ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/09/2024

Iberdrola est la référence stratégique dans le secteur des utilities intégrées. Depuis 2001, le groupe poursuit une stratégie résiliente de croissance rentable (renouvelable et réseaux), d’expansion géographique et de rémunération attractive des actionnaires (TSR annuel moyen 17.9%). Toutefois, la forte performance du titre et le faible potentiel résiduel à notre objectif de cours de 15.3 €, nous amènent à abaisser l’opinion à Neutre vs Surperformance. - ...

Pierre Tegner
  • Pierre Tegner

Danone : Offer for Lifeway Foods: a deal that might reassure on M&A ri...

>Outperform rating maintained despite the return of M&A risk - Outperform rating maintained with a target price of € 71. We continue to see Danone as a multi-year re-rating story as and when the improvement in operational execution is confirmed quarter after quarter and the group establishes a dynamic of profitable, steady and resilient growth. The repositioning of the product ranges and brands (category management) implemented since the arrival of the new CEO has bee...

Pierre Tegner
  • Pierre Tegner

Danone : Offre sur Lifeway Foods : une opération qui pourrait rassurer...

>Surperformance maintenue malgré le retour du risque M&A - Surperformance maintenue avec un OC de 71 €. Nous continuons de voir Danone comme une histoire de rerating pluriannuel à mesure que l’amélioration de l’exécution opérationnelle se confirme trimestre après trimestre et que le groupe rentre dans une dynamique de croissance rentable régulière et résiliente. Le repositionnement des gammes et des marques (category management) mis en place depuis l’arrivée du nouvea...

Cedric Rossi ... (+5)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Paul Rouviere
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #40

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we dig into the strange equation of US purchasing power vs. savings rates. Happy rea

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/23/2024

CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 23/09/2024

CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: forecast reset, part 1 - We have now moved to more conservative forecasts for the luxury sector reflecting primarily weaker spending from the Chinese cluster both mainland (a sales decline worse than -10% is now likely for H2 2024) and overseas. From a top-down perspective, we expect muted sales growth for the sector of 1% in Q3 and 2% in Q4 (hence FY 2024 at a meagre +2%) and forecast a moderate 5% growth for FY 2025 (see details below). From a bo...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: forecast reset, part 1 - We have now moved to more conservative forecasts for the luxury sector reflecting primarily weaker spending from the Chinese cluster both mainland (a sales decline worse than -10% is now likely for H2 2024) and overseas. From a top-down perspective, we expect muted sales growth for the sector of 1% in Q3 and 2% in Q4 (hence FY 2024 at a meagre +2%) and forecast a moderate 5% growth for FY 2025 (see details below). From a bo...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : August watch exports surprisingly up, looks like a misleading s...

>August exports show a growth rebound mainly driven by luxury watches - Strange things can happen in August: watch exports are growing even faster than in July at +6.9% y-o-y versus +1.8% the month before (the year-to-date growth remains negative at -1.4%) but this is entirely driven by 14.9% growth in the luxury segment, mainly fuelled by watches incorporating precious metals, according to Fédération Horlogère. The other categories show a significant decline fo...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : August watch exports surprisingly up, looks like a misleading s...

>August exports show a growth rebound mainly driven by luxury watches - Strange things can happen in August: watch exports are growing even faster than in July at +6.9% y-o-y versus +1.8% the month before (the year-to-date growth remains negative at -1.4%) but this is entirely driven by 14.9% growth in the luxury segment, mainly fuelled by watches incorporating precious metals, according to Fédération Horlogère. The other categories show a significant decline fo...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

Kering : Marked deterioration in the environment, further significant ...

>Tougher context in Asia with Gucci and Saint Laurent at bottom of the wave: H2 revenues est. at -11% (-5% before), 2025 revenues at +3.5% est. (+6.2% before) - The group gave no precise new information on business trends in Q3 but recalled that the start of the quarter had been less favorable than the performance reported for Q2 (Gucci revenues at -19% y-o-y cc, group revenues at -11%) and that the macroeconomic environment deteriorated in China over the summer while...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

Kering : Dégradation sensible de l’environnement, encore un ajustement...

>Environnement plus difficile en Asie avec Gucci et Saint Laurent au creux de la vague : CA S2 attendu à -11% (-5% préc.), CA 2025 à +3.5% (+6.2% préc.) - Le groupe ne donne pas d’informations précises nouvelles sur la marche de ses affaires au T3 mais rappelle que le début du trimestre avait montré une tendance encore moins favorable que celle publiée pour le T2 (CA Gucci à -19% y/y tcc, CA groupe à -11%) et que l’environnement macro-économique s’est dégradé en Chine...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rig...

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights (September 2024) KeringSociété anonyme with a share capital of €493,683,112Head office: 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS September 16, 2024 Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights(articles L.233-8 of the French Commercial Code and 223-16 of the General Regulation of the French Financial Markets Authority (AMF – Autorité des Marchés Financiers) Date  Total number ofshares Total number of voting rightstheoretical 1exercisable 2September 13, 2024123,420,778176,710,208175,86...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capita...

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote (Septembre 2024) KeringSociété anonyme au capital de 493 683 112 €Siège social : 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS         Le 16 septembre 2024 Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote(articles L. 233-8 du code de commerce et 223-16 du règlement général de l’AMF) Date d’arrêté desinformations   Nombre total d...

Cedric Rossi ... (+5)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Paul Rouviere
  • Philippine Adam
ITX INDITEX
TSCO TESCO ... (+3)

On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #39

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we discuss the Fed's upcoming meeting and rate cut. Happy reading!

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