Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...

Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: Introduces the agility advantage to grow, adapt and lead in the intelligent era. Belgian telcos: DAZN announces immediatele end for Belgian football broadcasting. CMB.TECH: Good 3Q thanks to its tankers. D'Ieteren: CFO buys more shares, State Farm seeks 6% California Auto Rate cut. Staffing: Belgium October Temp volume stable at -3.4% YoY despite tougher comps.

TeleColumbus (Overweight) Q3 2025: MSIP implicitly showing their suppo...

TeleColumbus Q3 results show better than expected cash generation with strong underlying EBITDA growth as we lap the MDU migration.

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: US peer Aecom sets a new standard for EBITDA margin potential. Belgian telecoms: Orange Belgium price increases from January. CFE: Keeps outlook, materially lower QoQ net debt. Flow Traders: Market volumes improve in October. IMCD: Awaiting a recovery. Kinepolis: Launches retail bond issuance for €100-150m. NEPI Rockcastle: Sound operational performance continues. Universal Music Group: EU to warn on Downtown deal

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi negative view on fibre deals, ups stake in Belgium to 76.9%. CFE: Preview - navigating challenging end markets. Retail Estates: Conference call highlights

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: 3Q mixed, NIBC M&A good value for money. Adyen: CMD highlights – confident on long-term growth Belgian Telecoms: Digi Belgium raises €104.5m in capital, after €80m capital increase in July. CM.com: Raises €5m through private placement. Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: Potential bidder for Carrefour Romania. Events Calendar

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play

Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Appointment of Boris Cambon-Lalanne as group CFO. Belgian Telecoms: Price increase on most of the non-commercialised products and Scarlet trio. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 7%, VW down 20%. Kendrion: Results preview; launching share buyback programme. Kinepolis: Acquires US movie theatre chain Emagine Entertainment for US$105m. Kinepolis: October box office in US/Canada and France attendance drop again. Ontex: Branded activity now fully divested. Philip...

Elisa Oyj: 1 director

A director at Elisa Oyj maiden bought 2,500 shares at 38.225EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Feedback from conference call 3Q25. Belgian telcos: Telenet positive net adds in broadband, near ECM decision. CTP: 34k sqm lease signed in Poland. Eurocommercial Properties: Organic momentum is getting stronger. Fugro: Reasonable 3Q, challenging 4Q and beyond. Heijmans: Order book quality improves further. KPN: VodafoneZiggo guidance maintained, ECM decision near. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio reports strong 3Q25 results. Retail Estates: Jysk new tenant of 5 Leen Bakker B...

Quality at a discount

Elisa (Neutral, TP: €46, +12%) Q3 25: Slightly weak results, worrying ...

Elisa has reported a slightly weak set of results with both SR and EBITDA -0.7% below consensus expectations; LFL SR trends are better at +3.9% y/y from +3.2% y/y, thanks to a recovery in fixed, with MSR unchanged.

Weaker MSR growth on higher churn

Tele2 (Neutral, TP: SEK 149, -4%) Q3 25: An EBITDA miss, but OpFCF bea...

Tele2 has reported a slightly mixed set of results: SR is ahead (+0.5%), so too EFCF (19% ahead), and OpFCF (by c9%), but EBITDAaL has missed consensus by -1.6%.

Strong execution justifies higher premium

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 3Q: HAL inclusion. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 2Q25/26 results. AMG: Lithium supply deal with Beijing Easpring. ASML: 3Q25 results supportive. Barco: 3Q25 trading update inline, surprise buyback. Belgian telcos: Start of the market test for cooperation agreement in Flanders. CM.com: Preview 3Q25 trading update. NSI: Vacancy increase as expected, marginal guidance update. Staffing sector: PageGroup 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: 3Q25 Preview - Like-for-Like(...

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: DAZN informs Pro League it has no deal with operators. CTP: €600m senior unsecured green bond at 3.625%. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 9M25 IMS. TomTom: 3Q25 results – Defying weak auto market

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi launches new mobile offer at €7 per month with 30GB D'Ieteren: Belgium Sept car registration, Febiac cuts 2025 outlook to 405-410k new cars Dutch insurance: Achmea Sixth Steet JV done, new entrant for buyouts for ASR and NN Heijmans: I'm a steamroller baby Prosus: Just Eat Takeaway offer unconditional WDP: €22m investment in Romania