reports
- ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
- Derek Laliberté
- Øystein Elton Lodgaard
- Simon Granath
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
ABN AMRO: Dutch State stake (NLFI) now below 25%. ASML: Preview 1Q26 - ongoing momentum. D'Ieteren: PHE raises financing to acquire majority stake in two Spanish distributors. Dutch pension buyouts: Athora registers one more (small) deal. Orange Belgium: Nethys does not exercise put option on its remaining stake. Vår Energi: Looking ahead to 2Q26
- James Ratzer
Spectrum alert Why a decision in Malta is more relevant than you migh...
This is the first time we have written a note “directly” on Maltese telecoms. Eagle-eyed followers of our work will know we have touched on it before looking at fixed-mobile convergence when Vodafone used to be in the market – but that was pre-2020! So why are we writing on it now? Why is it relevant?
- Russell Waller
- Ben Rickett
- James Ratzer
Telefonica (Reduce), 1&1 (Reduce) Telefonica negotiating acquisition ...
For as long as Telefonica and 1&1 remain separate businesses in Germany, we are going to get ongoing press stories relating to a potential deal. Last month, it was a story relating to comments from Dommermuth, which we addressed in our note at that stage.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ackermans & van Haaren: Results capping already strong subsidiary reporting. DPS beat. Fagron: Acquisition of Pharmavit Europe, active in nutraceutical raw materials. Fugro: Patience please. Kendrion: Sees signs of improvement in EU economy. Proximus: 2026 dividend halved, 2028-30 targets a bit better on lower capex. Proximus: 4Q25 in line EBITDA on weaker sales, FCF up; 2026 guidance below on EBITDA. Recticel: Strong FY25 results, CEO transition seen as a negative
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
GIMB GIMV NV
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
AGN AEGON N.V.
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Russell Waller
Orange Belgium (Neutral, TP: €21.6, +12%) H2 25 results: Numbers beat...
OBEL has reported a good set of numbers, with EBITDAaL c+3% ahead of consensus and 2026 EBITDAaL guidance is better than consensus expectations. There is evidence of a Digi impact in MSR and ARPU, but KPIs are OK, suggesting that OBEL is protecting share over ARPU - OBEL has c30% of revs from mobile only, which are vulnerable to Digi in our view.
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat
- Konrad Zomer
Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported ...
Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Press releaseEmbargo until 6 February 2026 at 7:00 am Regulated information – Inside information Financial information for the second semester and full year 2025 Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Mobile postpaid customer base +2.5% yoy / Cable customer base +1.8% yoyH2 Revenues -1.5% yoy / FY 2025 Revenues -1.5% yoyH2 EBITDAaL +3.4% yoy / FY 2025 EBITDAaL +...
Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, on...
Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst PersberichtEmbargo tot 6 februari 2026 om 7.00 u. Gereglementeerde informatie – Voorwetenschap Financiële informatie voor het tweede halfjaar en het volledige jaar 2025 Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst Aantal mobiele postpaidklanten +2.5% j-o-j / Aantal kabelklanten +1.8% j-o-jOmzet in H2 -1,5% j-o-j / Omzet 2025 -1,5% j-o-jEBITD...
Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions p...
Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Communiqué de presseEmbargo jusqu'au 6 février 2026 à 7h00 Information réglementée – informations confidentielles Information financière relative au second semestre et à l'exercice 2025 Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Base clients mobiles postpayés +2.5% / Base clients câble ...
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, £1.30, +20%) Q3 26 – The pricing vs. volume dynamic in...
Market reaction to Vodafone’s Q3 might be dominated by the weaker German broadband net adds figure, but we think the pricing trends look more encouraging and we see these as a reasonable set of results with all guidance reiterated.
- Russell Waller
Elisa (Neutral, TP: €38, -2%) Post Q4 25 model update – Difficult outl...
In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results incorporating conference call feedback and compare our new estimates to guidance and consensus. Elisa has had a tumultuous few days – down on the day of results, and now up heavily after.
- ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
- Derek Laliberté
- Øystein Elton Lodgaard
- Simon Granath
- Russell Waller
Elisa (Neutral, TP: €40, +8%) Q4 25: Weak results, weak guidance, and...
Elisa has reported a weak set of Q4 numbers, with slowing trends, misses vs consensus, weak guidance and a lower than expected dividend. The results would justify a further sell-off in our view, as concerns over competition in Finland continue. Elisa has gone from being a premium-rated defensive bellwether to perennial downgrade concern.
- ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
- Derek Laliberté
- Øystein Elton Lodgaard
- Simon Granath
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