EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
Yesterday, the Belgian federal government announced an agreement on the federal budget, which includes raising VAT on sports subscriptions from 6.0% to 12.0%. The BeNeLux region remains Basic-Fit's key profit driver, delivering a 46.5% EBITDA less rent margin in 1H25 compared to 12.0% across its other markets. For Belgium, we forecast FY25 revenue of approximately €250 million and underlying EBITDA less rent of €115 million. If the additional 6.0% VAT is absorbed without price adjustments, this ...
BUY reiterated and TP increased from €33.0 to €35.00. We have not yet included the Clever Fit acquisition into our estimates or fair value as we lack the financial details. In this report we have made an extensive analysis of the earnings accretion and value creation of Clever Fit, based on early assumptions. Although we also have some concerns regarding the uncertainty around rebranding, capex needs, improving fundamentals and timing of rebranding, we also see the upside potential, strategic im...
Digi Communications has released its Q3/25 numbers and held an earnings call. Revenues and EBITDA grew 14.4% and 6.1% y-o-y, respectively, while the margin narrowed to 33.5% from 36.1%. The improvement was driven by RGU additions. ARPU fell across the board, except in Romania. Cash generation remained weak, driven by a draw on working capital. Capex and lease payments increased, resulting in negative FCF. Net leverage was up sequentially at 3.2x.
DIGI has reported its Q3 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained strong, supported by the continued customer base expansion on key markets, the Portugal segment and higher financial expenses weigh on net profit which almost halved compared to last year.
HEADLINES: • MOL: much to admire, despite the fire (stays BUY) • PGE: decent 3Q25 results - recurring EBITDA at PLN 2.95bn (+6% vs. our expectations), but weak net income NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 3Q25 adjusted EBIT up 42% yoy, 15% above our forecast; FY25E cards addition target exceeded by November, FY26 plan of 260k+ new cards POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy and 5% below our estimate NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 3Q25 soft, but better than we expected NEUTRA...
Digi has reported a good set of results with EBITDAaL +3.9% ahead of our expectations thanks to Spain, where MNO benefits are coming through faster than expected. Digi gave some new disclosure on the Spanish business which we need to absorb.
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
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