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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 28 January 2026, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

DEME Saltchuk takes peer Great Lakes Dredge & Dock private for $1.2bn ...

Saltchuk a privately held US group active in freight transport, marine services and energy distribution, has agreed to acquire Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp (GLDD), an US offshore energy and dredging contractor often viewed as a peer to DEME due to its similar infrastructure-focused marine activities. The deal values Great Lakes at $1.2bn equity and $1.5bn transaction value, with Saltchuk offering US$17.00 per share in cash—a 25% premium to the company's 90-day VWAP and above its all-time hig...

Guy Sips ... (+2)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Biotalys Model update after strategic refocus

We updated our model (New “Accumulate”, New € 5.1 TP) after Biotalys plans a strategic refocus, concentrating resources on its top-priority biofungicide programs. Early-stage activities will be suspended and the organization downsized to cut costs while they claim “protecting long-term platform value”. The shift prioritizes Evoca NG, BioFun-6, and already partnered programs with the Gates Foundation and Syngenta. These measures aim to reduce cash burn by €20m through 2028 and strengthen commerci...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Biotalys Refocusing strategy on lead assets and cutting annual cash bu...

We will update our model (from “Buy” to “under review”) after Biotalys plans a strategic refocus, concentrating resources on its top-priority biofungicide programs. Early-stage activities will be suspended and the organization downsized to cut costs while protecting long-term platform value. The shift prioritizes EVOCA NG, BioFun-6, and already partnered programs with the Gates Foundation and Syngenta. These measures aim to reduce cash burn by €20m through 2028 and strengthen commercialization r...

Francesca Ferragina ... (+2)
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Michiel Vereycken

Xior Student Housing/Focus on organic growth and developments/BUY

Xior reported solid operational FY25 results. We remain very supportive of the excellent organic trends: LFL rental growth of +5.4% over FY25, which is expected to reach a minimum of +4% over 2026-27F, still outperforming the broader real estate space. The 4% EPS growth guidance for 2026 and 2027 is strong and we think this is a realistic expectation. LTV is at 49.9% and this limits growth options. Over the next two years the group focus will be on rental growth, operational leverage and the exe...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 graphiques d’analyse : un pipeline de projets toujours solid...

Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 analysis charts: a pipeline of projects that remains solid

For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

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