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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: 1Q24 update in line, FY24 outlook in line with consensus at mid-point. bpost: Agreement on Flemish newspaper delivery; risk of provisions largely removed. Cofinimmo: Q1 results in line. Corbion: Tail wags the dog. IMCD: The last hurdle was a harsh clip. Proximus: Strong start to the year, guidance unchanged ahead of Digi arrival. Recticel: Kingspan 1Q24 trading update. Signify: 1Q24 results; revenue decline accelerates. Umicore: Confirms FY 2024 EBITDA guidance range. ...

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, ...

: ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, HOMI BB, KIN BB, VGP BB, WDP BB, XFAB FP, AZE BB, ONWD BB

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

ASML Valuation method update

In this note we make a small adjustment to our forecast, give a valuation overview and change our valuation method. We still see reasons to remain cautious as inventories remain elevated, while the divergence between WFE revenue growth and Semi manufacturers CapEx growth continues to diverge. Furthermore, we provide an extensive multiple overview. Finally, we adjust our valuation method. Our current target price is for 50% based on DCF valuation, 30% based on peer multiples and 20% based on 2025...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML discloses 2024 AGM results

ASML discloses 2024 AGM results ASML discloses 2024 AGM results Veldhoven, the Netherlands, April 24, 2024 – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) today announces the results of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) held on April 24, 2024. The 2024 AGM marks the end of the terms of Peter Wennink and Martin van den Brink as Presidents of ASML and the beginning of Christophe Fouquet's term as President and CEO of ASML. At the AGM, ASML’s statutory financial statements for the 2023 financial year were adopted. In addition, the following items were approved: Proposal to adopt a final dividend payment of €1....

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: 1Q24 results - better on all fronts. Heineken: Uphill from here. KPN: 1Q24 in line, guidance slightly increased on Youfone acquisition. Melexis: 1Q24 results in line a relief. Universal Music Group: Spotify 1Q24 Results and guidance beat on margins. Vopak: Good progress to start the year. Wereldhave: 1Q24 LFL slows sharply

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : A very good Q1, outlook strengthened with GAA ...

>Q1 2024 results beat forecasts, due to a record gross margin link to a record contribution from China - Q1 2024 revenue was € 639m, up +2% q-o-q, but -8% y-o-y, above the consensus at € 628m. The gross margin was 52.9% well above the consensus at 48.4%. This improvement (vs Q4 2023 to 47.9%) principally stems from the mix and notably the contribution from China (a record level but not quantified). EBIT was € 192m (operating margin of 29.3%), i.e. 27% above the conse...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : Très bon T1, des perspectives qui se renforcen...

>Des résultats T1 24 supérieurs aux attentes, du fait d’une marge brute record, liée à un poids record de la Chine - Le CA T1 24 ressort à 639 M€, à +2% qoq, mais à -8% yoy, > au consensus à 628 M€. La marge brute s’établit à 52,9% significativement > au consensus à 48.4%. Cette amélioration (vs T4 23 à 47,9%) découle principalement du mix et notamment de la contribution de la Chine (à un niveau record mais non précisé). L’EBIT ressort à 192 M€ (MOP de 29,3%), soit 2...

Michael Roeg
  • Michael Roeg

ASM International - Strong beat in Q1, outlook raised for Q2/H2

Q1 beats vs. DP/CSS by: sales 2%, GP 10-11%, EBITA 24-27%, orders 6%Sales guidance Q2 and H2 lifted. At the midpoint of Q2, H2 guidance implies FY24 sales of at least EUR 2,770m. CSS is EUR 2,772mEstimates raised, TP slightly lifted, Hold reiterated

 PRESS RELEASE

ASM reports first quarter 2024

ASM reports first quarter 2024 Almere, The Netherlands April 23, 2024, 6 p.m. CET Solid start of the year, Q1 orders supported by GAA and HBM ASM International N.V. (Euronext Amsterdam: ASM) today reports its Q1 2024 results (unaudited). Financial highlights € million Q1 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 New orders 647.4 677.5 697.9 yoy change % at constant currencies (6%) (14%) 10%         Revenue 710.0 632.9 639.0 yoy change % at constant currencies 40% (7%) (8%)         Gross profit margin % 49.4 % 47.2  % 52.9  % Adjusted gross profit margin ...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program

ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal repurchased sharesWeighted average priceTotal repurchased value15-Apr-24 10,864 €920.49 €10,000,238 16-Apr-24 11,013 €901.88 €9,932,399 17-Apr-24 - - - 18-Apr-24 - - - 19-Apr-24 - - - ASML’s current share buyback program was announced on 10 November 2022, and details are available on our website at ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+4)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/22/2024

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+4)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 22/04/2024

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : No particular surprises to be expected from th...

>No particular surprises for the Q1 2024 earnings release - ASMi will publish its Q1 2024 results on 23/04 at 6.00pm CET and will hold a conference call on 24/04 at 3.00pm CET. We do not anticipate any surprises on either earnings or orders. The group said that it expected H1 to be stable, with Q1 and Q2 sales at € 600-640m. We therefore look for Q1 sales of € 625m, a gross margin of 48.8% and EPS of € 2.70. The consensus is close at € 628m, 48.3% and € 2.73, respect...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : Pas de surprise particulière à attendre sur ce...

>Pas de surprise particulière à la publication du T1 24, - ASMi publiera ses résultats T1 24 le 23/04 à 18h00 CET et tiendra une conférence call le 24/04 à 15h00 CET. Nous n’attendons pas de surprise, ni sur les résultats, ni sur les commandes. Le groupe avait indiqué anticiper un S1 stable, avec un CA T1 et T2 à 600/640 M€. Nous tablons donc sur un CA T1 de 625 M€, une MB de 48,8% et un BPA de 2,70 €. Le consensus est proche à respectivement 628 M€, 48,3% et 2,73€. ...

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