reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Banks; KOMB CP; MONET CP; PCO PW; BELA GA; PL Utilities...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania ...
While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Komercni Banka to HOLD (from Buy), and we set our updated 12M price target (PT) at CZK 1,108 (up from CZK 959/share), 7% upside. We see the c.9% annual dividend yield as the key return for shareholders in the next 12 months. We believe that the high yield should be sustainable over the next two years, as we have prolonged our assumption of a 100% dividend payout ratio by one year, beyond management’s explicit current guidance. Komercni Banka is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of ...
- Roy Külter
- Thomas Zlowodzki
DGE DIAGEO PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Roy Külter
- Thomas Zlowodzki
DGE DIAGEO PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; HU Macro; KRU PW; HUG PW; CAR PW; 11B PW; MUR PW...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
- Clément Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: Q2 to reinforce recovery momentum and rerating case
Ahead of H1 2025 earnings on 1st August, we have lifted our Q2 2025E sales forecasts to 8.1% o/w 4.5% LfL excluding calendar and more globally our FY25-27 EPS estimates by 2% to reflect a stronger LfL recovery in Poland (fuelled by food inflation and an easing in the price war) and better margin de
Bank Handlowy W Warszawie: 2 directors
A director at Bank Handlowy W Warszawie sold 2,612 shares at 121.880PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz
Brent crude oil prices rose USD 5.8/bbl vs. the previous month, on the fear of a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite rising crude prices, a strong diesel crack means that the WOOD benchmark also improved, to USD 13.0/bbl, the highest level since March 2024. Petrochemicals margins were lower, but not affected by the high oil prices, as may have been expected.
- Adrien Frachette
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Emmanuel Matot
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CVVTF COVESTRO AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
PUM PUMA SE
ORA ORANGE SA
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
LXS LANXESS AG
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
VIRP VIRBAC SA
FII LISI SA
EOAN E.ON SE
SDF K+S AG
BAS BASF SE
SOLB SOLVAY SA
ELIS ELIS SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
ENG ENAGAS SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
BNR BRENNTAG SE
INX IMCD N.V.
RUI RUBIS SCA
SANT S&T AG
ADYEN ADYEN NV
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
MRNA MODERNA INC.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- Adrien Frachette
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Emmanuel Matot
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CVVTF COVESTRO AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
VIRP VIRBAC SA
FII LISI SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
EOAN E.ON SE
SDF K+S AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
BAS BASF SE
SOLB SOLVAY SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
ENG ENAGAS SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
BNR BRENNTAG SE
INX IMCD N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
RUI RUBIS SCA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SANT S&T AG
ADYEN ADYEN NV
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
MRNA MODERNA INC.
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; RO Banks; EME Macro/Strategy – PL; PL Macro; TXT...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: rebound in Türkiye
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
VRC VERCOM SA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO SHOPER SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
BOROUGE BOROUGE
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
Orlen S.A: 2 directors
Two Directors at Orlen S.A bought 4,010 shares at between 76.890PLN and 77.000PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; RO Banks; MOL HB; GSPARK HB; CEZ CP; SNP RO...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Bank Capital/It's getting hot in here
We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; TL Macro; DNP PW; CZG CP; 4IG HB
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: sells 60% stake in SCB for 2024 P/BV of 1.2x, books modest gain of PLN 0.4bn NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: weak BoP, but improving budget • Dino: AGM approves 1:10 share split NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: closes VSS acquisition • 4iG: signs non-binding term sheet to acquire nine defence subsidiaries from N7 Holding NEUTRAL
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
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