reports
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Michael B. Schäfer
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
DG VINCI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
HO THALES SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
QIA QIAGEN NV
RXL REXEL SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position
>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position
>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
SK SEB SA
GFC GECINA SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
UMI UMICORE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
SK SEB SA
GFC GECINA SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
UMI UMICORE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
SOU SOUND ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
I3E I3 ENERGY
RHC ROYAL HELIUM LTD
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC. (TCF)
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
LNGE LNG ENERGY GROUP CORP.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
Repsol : Results beat forecasts but FCF weakened – Reassuring comments...
>Q1 results 6.4% above forecasts - Q1 adjusted net profit came to € 1.27bn (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY), 6.4% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1.07bn; consensus: € 1.19bn), thanks to E&P and Industrial. E&P: the drop in the gap price took a tool - E&P posted an adjusted profit of € 442m, down 20%, whereas the Brent price was near-stable. This is because natural gas makes up two-thirds of the group’s production (590kboe/d) and is mainly produced in North Americ...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 26 APRIL + 1Q'24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results and macro data drag down stock markets After three straight days of gains, the business results and the macro data in the US led to stock market losses on both sides of the Atlanti...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
Repsol : Résultat supérieur aux attentes mais baisse du FCF – Le group...
>Résultats T1 6.4% supérieurs aux attentes - Le résultat net ajusté du T1 s'est établi à 1267 M€ (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY) et 6.4% au-dessus du consensus (ODDO BHF: 1 067 M€ ; consensus : 1 191 M€), grâce à l’E&P et Industrial. E&P : la baisse du prix du gaz a pesé - Le résultat de l’E&P ressort à 442 M€, en baisse de 20% alors le brent est quasi-stable. En effet, la production du groupe (590 kbep/j) est dominée à hauteur des deux tiers par le gaz natur...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...
>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...
>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...
- Virginia Romero
- Virginia Romero
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : 2024 set to be a good year
>Outperform rating and target price of € 14.4 maintained - Q1 2024 results came in a shade above our forecasts but were broadly in line with the consensus. As expected, the group's resilience strategy enabled it to benefit over the quarter from an increase in regulated activities thanks to the growth of the asset base, and largely offset the generation activity that benefits from a good level of hydrometry on the Iberian Peninsula and new offshore wind capacity but is...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : 2024 sous de bons auspices
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 14.4 € maintenus - Les résultats du T1 24 sont ressortis un peu au-dessus de nos attentes mais globalement en ligne avec le consensus. Comme attendu, la stratégie de résilience du groupe lui permet de bénéficier, sur ce trimestre, de la progression des activités régulées grâce à la croissance de la base d’actifs. Cela a permis de largement compenser une activité de génération bénéficiant certes d’un bon niveau d’hydrométrie sur la péninsu...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 25 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AEDAS HOMES, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets deflate European stock markets started the session off well but began to deflate, eventually closing with losses after US stock markets opened in the red and following a new rise in sovereign de...
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