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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Japan DC exposure, future developments and valuati...

EM & Japanese Telcos have more DC capacity than those in other regions. In this short note, we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these assets, in an attempt to contextualise this exposure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Blow out Q3 results drive another great mon...

EM Telco earnings season was extremely strong, and with 8 of our 10 picks reporting this month, our picks rose 6.8% on average in November and are now up 80% YTD. With Singtel having strongly outperformed, Bharti we swap the latter in for the former; this note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and QQQ We downgraded our near-term outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to neutral last week (11/19/25 Compass), after being bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are right back to being near-term bullish as long as these support levels continue to hold. Just know that SPX could see...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vast, Ecopetrol, Falabella, Millicom, JBS, InRetail Consumer, InRetail RE, Avianca, TGS, Tupy, Ultrapar, Simpar

Lorena Reich
  • Lorena Reich

Millicom - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytics

Millicom has posted solid Q3/25 results, with sustained margin expansion despite a slight top-line decline. The EBITDA margin expanded 8.0 ppts y-o-y to 48.9%. FCF was positive USD 118 mn, despite an additional dividend distribution and higher capex. Net leverage (including leases) inched down 0.1x q-o-q to 2.6x. Excluding leases, net leverage also dropped 0.1x to 2.1x. Liquidity remained solid. We anticipate EBITDA growth and margin expansion in FY 2025, reflecting the cost-saving initiatives a...

Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: YPF, TGS, Telecom Argentina, Samarco, Pampa Energia, BRF, Millicom, Marfrig (MBRF), Movida, FS Agrisolutions, Braskem

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Brava Energia, Geopark, Petrobras, Cencosud, Millicom, Rede D'Or, SierraCol, C&W Communications, Minerva, Suzano, Aeromexico, VTR Finance, Tupy, Braskem, Iochpe-Maxion, Aegea

Chris Hoare ... (+2)
  • Chris Hoare
  • David Lopes
Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

ILMN ILLUMINA INC.
YNDX YANDEX NV CLASS A
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TTMI TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC.
RUN SUNRUN INC.
OSIS OSI SYSTEMS INC.
OHI OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC.
NWPX NORTHWEST PIPE CO.
MMSI MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC.
LPTH LIGHTPATH TECHNOLOGIES INC. CL A
LOCO EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC
KWR QUAKER CHEMICAL CORPORATION
HNRG HALLADOR ENERGY CO.
GALT GALECTIN THERAPEUTICS
EXPO EXPONENT INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
AXTI AXT INC.
ASPN ASPEN AEROGELS
GASS STEALTHGAS
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
AUP AURINIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
NVT NINH VAN BAY REAL ESTATE
ATEC ALPHATEC HOLDINGS INC.
BIO BIO-RAD LABORATORIES INC. CLASS A
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
LPLA LPL FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
TWLO TWILIO INC. CLASS A
HCC WARRIOR MET COAL INC.
BTU PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
AMRX AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC. CLASS A
OPXSD OPTEX SYSTEMS HOLDINGS INC
CSTL CASTLE BIOSCIENCES
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TVTX TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC
AMR ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCES INC
CGEM CULLINAN ONCOLOGY INC
MMED MIND MEDICINE MINDMED
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC
DAWN DAY ONE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC
NVTS NAVITAS SEMICONDUCTOR CORP
APG API GROUP CORP
JOBY JOBY AVIATION INC
SPXC SPX TECHNOLOGIES INC
IE IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC
AMPX AMPRIUS TECHNOLOGIES INC
DUOT DUOS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP INC
IMPP IMPERIAL PETE INC
LAES SEALSQ CORP
LXEO LEXEO THERAPEUTICS INC
METC RAMACO RESOURCES INC.
RAPP RAPPORT THERAPEUTICS INC
TOYO TOYO CO LTD
CLNN CLENE INC
FCEL FUELCELL ENERGY INC.
QUIK QUICKLOGIC CORP
GSAT GLOBALSTAR INC.
ACA ALDA CAPITAL CORP COM
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Back to Black: NSR GEM Top-10 November ‘25 ...

Our portfolio of Top Picks was higher again in October, and now up 69% ytd. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos When does Digital drive a re-rating? Upgrade VEON, V...

We analyze how much revenue EM Telcos are generating from digital businesses, and therefore at what point they are likely to make the transition from being “Telcos with digital assets” to “Digital first”. We use this to predict when the market is likely to re-rate those exposed, and as a result make multiple upgrades across our GEM Telcos.

Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Millicom, VTR Finance, Energuate, Klabin, Aeromexico, Embraer

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos Why are governments allowing mobile price hikes?

We note EM Governments & regulators appear to have become much more relaxed about mobile ARPU growing above inflation relative to the recent past. Why is this? This note gives one possible explanation.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers First down month, AMX into the Top-10 for T...

After 8 extremely strong months, September bucked the trend. 6 of our Top Picks saw profit taking with only Airtel Africa, Millicom, Telefonica Brasil and LILAC posting positive returns. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. Having strongly outperformed we switch out Millicom for AMX which we now see as a cheaper, lower risk, way to play Latin American telcos.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos Why are governments allowing mobile price hikes?

We note EM Governments & regulators appear to have become much more relaxed about mobile ARPU growing above inflation relative to the recent past. Why is this? This note gives one possible explanation.

Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: CSN, Millicom, Marfrig, LATAM Airlines, Embraer, Ambipar, Cosan SA

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