reports
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
Construction – Laying The Groundwork: Infrastructure Upcycle And Margi...
Singapore’s construction sector is entering a new growth phase, underpinned by major infrastructure projects such as Changi T5 (S$5.75b in awarded contracts), Tuas Mega Port, and the Marina Bay Sands expansion. Falling material and labour costs are easing margin pressures, improving the profitability outlook for contractors. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
MBLY MOBILEYE NV
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
0084207D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
ME 23ANDME HLDG CO
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets
With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
ALSEA ALSEA S.A.B. DE C.V.
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KALLPA KALLPA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
UNIGEL UNIGEL
AMBP3 BZ AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPR
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Bull market continues – NSR GEM Top-10 June...
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
GEM Telcos: Consolidation – THE theme driving improved trends for EM T...
Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Millicom (Buy, TP: $46, +31%) On a path to $1bn EFCF. Upgrade target ...
Following our day spent with Millicom in Miami and Q1 results we review our model. Assuming the Colombian deal closes we now see the company on a path to $1bn EFCF once synergies are delivered. Dividends are likely to rise to over $4/share, driving the shares towards $50. We remain Buyers and upgrade our price target to US$46.
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: YPF, Falabella, Geopark, Canacol, Cencosud, TGS, Millicom, Klabin, C&W Communications, Movida, GOL, Orbia, Minerva, Suzano, Rumo, Investment Energy Resources, Simpar, Ultrapar
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Capex in steep decline; underpins EFCF growth
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Still rising – NSR GEM Top-10 May ‘25 Updat...
Despite global volatility our EM Top Picks posted positive returns again in April and now up 34% YTD on average. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be and this is now being reflected by the market it seems.
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
AZTECA.CPO TV AZTECA S.A. DE C.V. CPO
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
AMBP3 AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPREEN
- Felix Fischer
Latam Trade Book - 14 April 2025 - Lucror Analytics
In the latest edition of our LatAm Trade Book, we review most of our current trade recommendations. We also discuss key metrics of the issuers and how the bonds fare relative to peers. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our LatAm coverage.
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
AZTECA.CPO TV AZTECA S.A. DE C.V. CPO
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
ALSEA ALSEA S.A.B. DE C.V.
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KALLPA KALLPA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
UNIGEL UNIGEL
AMBP3 BZ AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPR
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 08, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SE US SEA LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Singapore Research Team
Singapore Market Strategy - Turbulence To Continue – Stay With Domesti...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
SE US SEA LIMITED
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Japanese Telcos Tariffs – Impact on Global EM & Ja...
Perhaps the biggest surprise from last night’s White House announcement was the scale of tariffs imposed on Asian exporters (and South Africa). Being an ally of America provided no benefit with Thailand (36%) facing higher tariffs than China (34%). By contrast, Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa are less negatively impacted, and may even benefit overall from dollar weakness. We run through likely implications for our coverage in Global EM and Japan. Spoiler alert: we see Rakuten as most negati...
- Chris Hoare
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
IOI IOI CORP BHD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
1888 KINGBOARD LAMINATES HOLDINGS LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
HUIZ HUIZE HOLDING LIMITED
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