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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 24 JANUARY + 4Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: INDRA, REDEIA, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The earnings season kicked off in the Ibex It was a session of moderate gains for European stock markets, with the Ibex leading gains and trading near 12,000 points again, fuelled by banks and despite the poor start to the earnings sea...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 24 ENERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDRA, REDEIA, TALGO. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Comenzó la temporada de resultados en el Ibex Sesión de avances moderados en las bolsas europeas, con el Ibex liderando las subidas y rozando nuevamente los 12.000 puntos ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 23 JANUARY + 4Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, GLOBAL DOMINION, MELIÁ HOTELS, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex remains below 12,000 points European stock markets were mixed once more, where the peripheral segment (Ibex/Mib) ended in negative territory whereas the CAC and DAX climbed around +1.0% with the o...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 23 ENERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, GLOBAL DOMINION, MELIA, NATURGY. EUROPA: MUNICH RE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex se estanca por debajo de los 12.000 puntos Nueva sesión de bolsas mixtas en Europa donde la periferia (Ibex/Mib) terminó ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 JANUARY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, TALGO. IBEX unable to break 12,000 point barrier Except for the IBEX, European stock markets ended with gains, boosted by the good news out of the technology and luxury sectors. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Technology, whereas Autos and Travel & Leisure ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the US, December’s core retail sales grew slightly less than expected, but those used to calculate the GDP rose more than expected, r...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 ENERO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, TALGO. Al Ibex se le atragantan los 12.000 puntos A excepción del Ibex, las bolsas europeas terminaron con subidas impulsadas por las buenas noticias provenientes del sector tecnológico y del lujo. Precisamente, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Tecnología mientras que Autos y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con las mayores cesiones. Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. las ventas al por menor core de diciembre crecieron algo menos de lo ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO : 2025: set to potentially be a better year than 2024

2025 is in our view likely to see sales continue to grow (5% estimated vs 1.5% in 2024e) and margins continue to improve (53bp vs 14bp in 2024e), with the possible exception of a few companies (optimised margins or tariff risk). While some themes are likely to endure (US exposure, green capex, data centres, etc.), others will emerge (construction, discrete automation) or accelerate (semiconductors) over the year. In this context, our Top Picks are Alstom, Assa Abloy, Siemens and SKF. And we upgr...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO : 2025 : potentiellement un meilleur cru que 2024

L’année 2025 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la croissance du CA (5% estimé vs 1.5% en 2024e) et de l’amélioration de la marge (53 pb vs 14 pb en 2024e), à l’exception possible de quelques sociétés (marge optimisée ou risque lié aux hausses des droits de douane). Si quelques thématiques devraient rester inchangées (exposition USA, Green Capex, datacenters, etc), d’autres émergeront (construction, discrete automation) ou accélèreront (semiconducteurs) au cours de l’année. Dans ce contexte, no...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 13 JANUARY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ENCE, GREENING. Rising debt yields weigh on markets European stock markets ended the week with gains, with all eyes on rising long-term sovereign debt yields. In the STOXX 600 sectors, Luxury, Technology and Autos were the best performers, with Utilities, Real Estate and Retail (affected by rising debt yields) posting the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the US December’s non-farm employment data beat expectations, with the unemployment rate falling unexpectedly and ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 ENERO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ENCE, GREENING. El incremento de las rentabilidades de la deuda pesa sobre las bolsas Las bolsas en Europa terminaron la semana con subidas, con la mirada puesta en el repunte de rentabilidad del tramo largo de la deuda soberana. Así, dentro de lo sectoriales del STOXX 600 destacó al alza Lujo, Tecnología y Autos, frente a las mayores caídas de Utilities, Inmobiliario y Retail (afectadas por las subidas de las rentabilidades de la deuda). ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : La baisse des taux d’intérêt favorise l’immobilier : nos top pi...

Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : Interest rate winds favor real estate: Our top picks for 2025

An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 23 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ENAGÁS, CAF, LAR ESPAÑA. A week of corrections in view of the delay in rate cut expectations in the US US stock exchanges rallied last Friday with the good inflation data (core deflator) but slid near -1.5% last week vs. -2.0% European stock markets due to the fewer rate cuts expected by the Fed in 2025. Thus, in the STOXX 600 all sectors ended with drops last week, led by Pharma and Basic Resources vs. the better relative performance of Consumer Goods and Technology. On the macro...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 23 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, ENAG, LAR ESPAÑA. Semana de caídas en bolsa ante el retraso en las expectativas de bajadas de tipos en EE.UU. Las bolsas de EE.UU. rebotaron el viernes con el buen dato de inflación (deflactor del consumo) pero se dejaron en la semana cerca de un -1,5% y las europeas un -2,0%, acusando las menores bajadas de tipos previstas para 2025 por parte de la Fed. Así, en el STOXX 600, todos los sectores cerraron la semana con caídas, lideradas por Far...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 DECEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AMADEUS, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, GRIFOLS, TALGO. Fewer rate cuts in the US in 2025 European stock markets ended with gains ahead of the Fed’s decision of cutting rates by 25bps, as expected. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Technology and Banks (that recovered part of the ground lost at the previous session) were the best performers whereas Food and Basic Resources saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s inflation was cut one tenth vs. the preliminary data to 2.2...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AMADEUS, GRIFOLS, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO, TALGO. EUROPA: SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Menos bajadas de tipos en EE.UU. en 2025 Las bolsas europeas cerraron el día con ganancias previo a la decesión de la Fed de recortar los tipos 25 p.b. En el STOXX 600, los ganadores fueron Tecnología y Bancos (recuperaron parte de lo perdido el día anterior) mientras que Alimentación y R. Básicos terminaron con el mayor castigo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación d...

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