Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. The AI theme garnered the most interest, attributable to: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) development of self-sufficient chips. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel ...
Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Meituan’s 2Q25 earnings missed expectations. Total revenue grew 12% yoy to Rmb91.8b, 2-4% below our and consensus estimates. Non-IFRS net profit slumped 89% yoy to Rmb1.5b, with net margin shrinking 15ppt yoy to 2%, missing consensus estimate. For 2H25, we are cautious on Meituan and expect to see margin pressure stemming from intense competition in the FD business. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of HK$100.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
What’s new: Meituan’s reported 2Q25 results that were below consensus and our expectations. Due to intense competition in the food delivery sector, CLC could see significant losses in 3Q due to subsidies and promotions as Meituan continues to defend its market share. CLC rev growth could also meaningfully decelerate in 3Q. We lower our PT from HK$200 to HK$140 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of HK$140 implies 1.6x FY26E EV/Revs. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$101.60/Target: HK$114.20) 1H25: Results in line; lowers Anta brand target slightly, but maintains group-level target. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$30.40/Target: HK$34.10) 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook & regular REIT expansion vision. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK/BUY/HK$7.94/Target: HK$8.88) 1H25: Hardware shipments more than double; eyeing mass pro...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
Market concerns persist over the viability of JD’s entry into the food delivery space and the implications of the increasingly competitive landscape. In response to the heightened rivalry, food delivery companies have ramped up their investment, weighing on near-term profitability. By leveraging high-frequency food delivery scenarios to channel traffic toward e-commerce categories, JD and Alibaba have effectively enhanced conversion efficiency during the 618 campaign. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
What’s new: Meituan’s reported 1Q25 results that top consensus and our expectations. Due to intense competition in the food delivery sector, CLC rev growth could decelerate in 2Q relative to 1Q. OP for CLC could also decline YoY in 2Q partly due to subsidies and promotions as Meituan defends its market share in food delivery. We maintain our PT at HKD200. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Meituan’s 1Q25 results are in line with expectations. Total revenue grew 18% yoy to Rmb86.6b, in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-IFRS net profit was Rmb10.9b, with net margin expanding 2ppt yoy to 12.6%, beating consensus estimates by 13%. For 2025, we turn cautious on Meituan and expect to see margin pressure stemming from intense competition in the FD business. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of HK$140.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$129.40/Target: HK$140.00) Meituan’s 1Q25 results are in line with expectations. Total revenue grew 18% yoy to Rmb86.6b, in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-IFRS net profit was Rmb10.9b, with net margin expanding 2ppt yoy to 12.6%, beating consensus estimates by 13%. For 2025, we turn cautious on Meituan and expect to see margin pressure stemming from intense competition in the FD business. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of ...
GREATER CHINA Results Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$129.40/Target: HK$140.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat; expect margin pressure as FD competition intensifies. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Results Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ/BUY/Rp895/Target: Rp1,040): 1Q25: Weak profit; below consensus estimate. MALAYSIA Results AMMB Holdings (AMM MK/BUY/RM5.44/Target: RM6.08): 4QFY25: Net profit in line, supported by improved NIM and strong trading income. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of RM6.08. Gas Malaysia ...
Total net revenues came in at RMB86.6bn (-2.2% QoQ and +18.1% YoY), above consensus and our expectations of RMB85.4bn. Gross margin came in at 37.4%, below our estimates of 38.0%, but up from 35.1% in 1Q24. non-GAAP net margin came in at 12.6%, above our expectations of 11.9% and up from 10.2% in 1Q24. Adjusted EBITDA margin came in at 14.2%, above our expectations of 13.1%, and up from 11.0% in 1Q24. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
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