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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Shorter-term, the SPX continues to make higher lows as high growth areas have re-emerged as leadership as the Fed starts to ease; we would need to see a break below 6450 in order to have confidence that a consolidation period has finally begun. Short-term supports on SPX include 6480-...

Moody's Ratings assigns A2 rating to Applied Materials' new senior uns...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned an A2 rating to Applied Materials Inc.'s (Applied) new senior unsecured notes (New Notes). The A2 rating on Applied's existing senior unsecured notes, the P-1 short-term rating, and the stable outlook are unchanged. Net proceeds from the New Notes will be used to...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Again, we'd note that prior attempts to integrate NAND into the DRAM stack (to increase memory capacity) have realized limited success for a variety of reasons including required shifts in the software layer (given NAND's different performance parameters) as well as the loss of DRAM capacity (with

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Announces Cash Dividend

Applied Materials Announces Cash Dividend SANTA CLARA, Calif., Sept. 12, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.46 per share payable on the company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on Dec. 11, 2025 to shareholders of record as of Nov. 20, 2025. The cash dividend is a key component of Applied’s capital allocation strategy. In March 2025, Applied announced a 15-percent increase in the quarterly dividend per share, from $0.40 to $0.46, marking eight consecutive years of dividend increas...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

DRAM, Memory: Taiwan DRAM makers to eye 20-50% Q4 Px hikes amid DDR4 squeezeView: The Commercial Times suggests DDR4 contract prices could rise another 20%–50% in Q4 off of already elevated levels. Specifically, Nanya reportedly raised contract prices 70% Q/Q in Q3 and is set for another 50% increa

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

August Sales Review

Valuation: We are reiterating our OUTPERFORM rating and maintain our target price of $1,300. We base our target on a multiple of ~20X applied to our 2026E EPS (net cash). We believe this valuation is supported by TSMC's robust intermediate growth outlook (driven by demand for advanced semiconductor

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML investing in Mistral – Strategic core or distraction?

Media reported yesterday that ASML will invest €1.3bn in Mistral AI, a French start-up developing frontier AI models, as part of a €1.7bn Series C funding round valuing Mistral at €10bn pre-money. Click on the link below for our quick read.

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

While this feature will only be offered in select cities (for now), comes with several limitations (to protect drivers and users) and is unlikely to represent a significant share of payments, we believe this will increase transport accessibility and reflects the continued relevance of cash for cert

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Consumer Staples to Underweight We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Shorter-term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level, whi...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Semicap: Cautious view justified; expectations at risk fo...

Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT and Foundry. 2Q25 semicap revenues up 2% QoQ, 2% above consensus. China up 19% after a 17% decline in 1Q, with manufac...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Foxconn, NVDA: August sales suggest continued AI momentumView: While overall sales slipped slightly M/M, AI sales remained robust with Foxconn noting it saw customers pull in shipments and reiterating it expects rack shipments will increase 3X. We see this news as indicative that near-term momentum

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