Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Company Update | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/ Bt6.20/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s Oct-25 SSSG declined sharply, with HomePro down 9–10% and Mega Home down 7–9%, worse than peers. We expect 4Q25 earnings to fall yoy, pressure by the sharp drop in SSSG and higher SG&A expenses. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt6.30.
Top Stories Company Results | IRPC (IRPC TB/HOLD/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) IRPC’s 3Q25 performance turnaround to a net profit of Bt340m stemmed from better GRM and inventory gains offset by petrochemical weakness. 9M25 loss narrowed yoy to Bt2.2b from a core loss of Bt3.2b. We expect core earnings to turn positive in 4Q25 but we foresee potential huge inventory losses to reflect weaker oil prices in 4Q25. Company Update | CH. Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.40/Target: Bt20.20) We expect CK’s 3Q25 ear...
Greater China Company Results | COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$13.67/Target: HK$14.54) CSH’s 3Q25 net profit fell 55% yoy to Rmb9.5b but beat expectations on resilient freight rates and higher volumes. The recent rebound in freight indices and suspension of US-China port fees should support 4Q25 earnings. While oversupply risks remain in 2026, accelerated scrapping could ease pressure. Its strong net cash position (63% of market cap) should allow CSH to navigate the downcycle with ...
Company Results | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt6.70/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s results are in line. 3Q25 earnings declined both yoy and qoq, pressured by negative SSS, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A. 4Q25 SSS are expected to remain weak due to a high base. However, we expect SSSG to normalise in 2026 due to the low base in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt6.30.
Top Stories Company Results | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt6.70/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s results are in line. 3Q25 earnings declined both yoy and qoq, pressured by negative SSS, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A. 4Q25 SSS are expected to remain weak due to a high base. However, we expect SSSG to normalise in 2026 due to the low base in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt6.30. Company Results | Siam Global House (GLOBAL TB/BUY/Bt7.55/Target: Bt9.50) 3Q25 earnings rose...
Indonesia Company Results | Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,100/Target: Rp3,500) ANTM’s 3Q25 net profit fell 50.2% qoq to Rp1.28t on weaker gold and nickel sales, but 9M25 profit rose 167.9% yoy to Rp5.97t, beating expectations. We adjust 2025-26 forecasts on revised gold and nickel assumptions, and expect a volume recovery after the Grasberg suspension in 2H26. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rp3,500. Malaysia Company Results | Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.34/Target: RM0.43) Earnings c...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
Company Update | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt7.05/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s 3Q25 earnings are expected to be unexciting, declining both yoy and qoq, pressured by negative same-store sales, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A. 4Q25 same-store sales are expected to remain weak due to a high base. However, we expect SSSG to normalise in 2026 due to the low base in 2025. Upgrade to HOLD with a higher target price of Bt6.30, as we roll over to 2026F PE.
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.08/Target: Bt3.30) AWC’s Jurassic World at Asiatique, launched in Aug 25 with Bt1.4b capex, exceeds targets with 2,400-2,800 visitors and Bt2m daily revenue. The park attracted mainly Thai families and school groups, with rising foreign visitors, particularly from China and Korea. It boosted Asiatique’s retail traffic, strengthening rental demand. AWC has planned periodic content refreshes to sustain interest and may replica...
Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
A director at Home Product Center Public Co Ltd sold 210,000 shares at 7.150THB and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/SELL/Bt7.30/Target: Bt5.60) 2Q25: Earnings drop yoy, in line with our forecast. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/SELL/Bt42.00/Target: Bt24.00) Weaker yoy earnings expected in 3QFY25. Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt15.70/Target: Bt25.00) 2Q25 results preview: Net profit momentum likely to moderate. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt51.75/Target: Bt79.60) Ex...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
We expect 2Q25 earnings to come in at Bt1.35b, declining both yoy and qoq due to sluggish same-store sales and a lower gross margin. The unusually cold summer significantly impacted sales of cooling products. We also anticipate continued weakness in same-store sales in 2H25, which could weigh on both top-line and profitability. Given the downside risk to consensus forecast, we downgrade HMPRO to SELL with a lower target price of Bt5.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Betagro (BTG TB/HOLD/Bt17.60/Target: Bt18.50) 2Q25 earnings will be the peak of 2025, but swine price downcycle pressures outlook. Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/SELL/Bt6.70/Target: Bt5.60) Downgrade to SELL. Weak outlook expected throughout the year.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply New credit jumps in June, but annual credit growth edges lower. Trade June data above expectations. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Maintain BUY on Crystal for its strong order growth momentum in 1H25; long-term wallet share gains intact. In...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
HMPRO reported 1Q25 net profit of Bt1.7b, down 0.3% yoy and 1.1% qoq, and in line with our and market estimates. Top-line and profitability for 1Q25 were flat yoy. SSS for Apr 25 remains unexciting with a negative momentum. We maintain our 2025 earnings, expecting a 3% yoy growth. We still foresee a lack of share price catalysts in the short term. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt10.00.
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