Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
Company Update | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt7.05/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s 3Q25 earnings are expected to be unexciting, declining both yoy and qoq, pressured by negative same-store sales, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A. 4Q25 same-store sales are expected to remain weak due to a high base. However, we expect SSSG to normalise in 2026 due to the low base in 2025. Upgrade to HOLD with a higher target price of Bt6.30, as we roll over to 2026F PE.
Top Stories Company Update | Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.08/Target: Bt3.30) AWC’s Jurassic World at Asiatique, launched in Aug 25 with Bt1.4b capex, exceeds targets with 2,400-2,800 visitors and Bt2m daily revenue. The park attracted mainly Thai families and school groups, with rising foreign visitors, particularly from China and Korea. It boosted Asiatique’s retail traffic, strengthening rental demand. AWC has planned periodic content refreshes to sustain interest and may replica...
Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
A director at Home Product Center Public Co Ltd sold 210,000 shares at 7.150THB and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/SELL/Bt7.30/Target: Bt5.60) 2Q25: Earnings drop yoy, in line with our forecast. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/SELL/Bt42.00/Target: Bt24.00) Weaker yoy earnings expected in 3QFY25. Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt15.70/Target: Bt25.00) 2Q25 results preview: Net profit momentum likely to moderate. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt51.75/Target: Bt79.60) Ex...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
We expect 2Q25 earnings to come in at Bt1.35b, declining both yoy and qoq due to sluggish same-store sales and a lower gross margin. The unusually cold summer significantly impacted sales of cooling products. We also anticipate continued weakness in same-store sales in 2H25, which could weigh on both top-line and profitability. Given the downside risk to consensus forecast, we downgrade HMPRO to SELL with a lower target price of Bt5.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Betagro (BTG TB/HOLD/Bt17.60/Target: Bt18.50) 2Q25 earnings will be the peak of 2025, but swine price downcycle pressures outlook. Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/SELL/Bt6.70/Target: Bt5.60) Downgrade to SELL. Weak outlook expected throughout the year.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply New credit jumps in June, but annual credit growth edges lower. Trade June data above expectations. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Maintain BUY on Crystal for its strong order growth momentum in 1H25; long-term wallet share gains intact. In...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
HMPRO reported 1Q25 net profit of Bt1.7b, down 0.3% yoy and 1.1% qoq, and in line with our and market estimates. Top-line and profitability for 1Q25 were flat yoy. SSS for Apr 25 remains unexciting with a negative momentum. We maintain our 2025 earnings, expecting a 3% yoy growth. We still foresee a lack of share price catalysts in the short term. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt10.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt8.25/Target: Bt10.00) 1Q25: Flattish yoy earnings momentum. Update Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt35.50/Target: Bt45.00) 1Q25 results preview: Expect a soft quarter, but remain positive on the long-term outlook. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt5.35/Target: Bt7.00) 1Q25 results preview: Expect slim core and net profits. SCG Packaging (SCGP TB/HOLD/Bt14.00/Target: Bt13.20) 2Q25 net profit expected to contin...
GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss due to weaker NIM and fee income; tariff risk is limited. Downgrade to HOLD. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.10/Target: HK$6.60): 1Q25: In line; cautious outlook amid rising curtailment rates and upcoming policy shift. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$44.50/Target: HK$49.00): 1Q25: Earnings down 2.1% yoy on weaker trading gains. Estun Automation (002747 CH/SELL/Rmb19.17/Target: Rmb...
HMPRO reported a 4Q24 net profit of Bt1,727m, up 3% yoy and 19.8% qoq, in line with our and market expectations. The key driver for 4Q24 was from a higher gross margin yoy. We still foresee an unexciting SSS growth momentum for 1Q25, expected at around -4% yoy. We maintain our earnings forecast for 2025, and anticipate a growth of 3% yoy. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt10.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt49.25/Target: Bt66.00) 4Q24: Better-than-expected earnings. Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt8.15/Target: Bt10.00) 4Q24: Results in line. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.61/Target: Bt1.70) 4Q24: Below expectations, decreasing yoy and qoq. Ratchaburi Group (RATCH TB/BUY/Bt27.00/Target: Bt40.00) 4Q24: Results below expectations, but bo...
We expect HMPRO to post a 4Q24 net profit of Bt1,690m, up 0.8% yoy, driven by a slight improvement in gross margin which offset the higher interest expense. Looking forward, we foresee development in cost management following the strategy to open hybrid stores. However, we still expect an unexciting 2024 top-line momentum amid intensifying competition. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt10.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 14% yoy and 30% wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Prolonged industry consolidation, moderation of global installation growth and rising protectionism challenge survivability. Results TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$11.07/Target: US$14.00): 3QFY25: Strong earnings beat; profit turnaround amid investment in learning devices. INDONESIA Results Bank Negara Indonesia...
HMPRO report 3Q24 net profit of Bt1,442m, down 5.9% yoy, pressured by negative SSS of Home Pro. We expect unexciting 4Q24 earnings due to the sluggish SSS momentum. We revise down HMPRO’s 2024-25 net profit by 3% and 4.4% respectively. Its share price is trading at an unappealing valuation of nearly -1SD of PE while the outlook remains unexciting. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt11.00.
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