Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670. We have discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the S&P 500 (the U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure, and that we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025. This remain...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. EUROPA: PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Mercados en fase post-electoral Durante la semana pasada los índices mundiales entraron en la fase post elect...
Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...
>Slowdown in demand confirmed for 2025 - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has marginally lifted its demand growth estimates by 60 kb/d to +920 kb/d for 2024 but maintains unchanged its 2025 estimate at +1 Mb/d. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d on average over 2000-2019 and a record of +2 Mb/d in 2023. This slowdown can be explained by the economic slowdown and the deployment of renewable energies. Chinese demand has slowed sharply for th...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: 1.9 mbbl/d at latest CN well. Water disposal infrastructure operational. High net cash – The fifth horizontal well at Carrizales Norte (CNB HZ-6) is producing 1.9 mbbl/d of oil (0.95 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 31%. The well reached TD ~ one month ago. After ~1 month of production, CNB HZ-1 and CNB HZ-3 were also producing >30% water with ~1 mbbl/d oil produ...
>Le ralentissement de la demande se confirme en 2025 - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise légèrement à la hausse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 60 kb/j à +920 kb/j pour 2024 mais les maintient inchangées à +1 Mb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j en moyenne en 2000-2019 et un record de +2 Mb/j en 2023. Ce ralentissement s’explique par le ralentissement économique et le déploiement des énergies renouvelables. La demande ...
NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. US inflation continues to follow the script European stock markets ended with drops, although the US inflation data helped distance them from daily lows. In the STOXX 600 the best-performing sectors were Energy and Consumer Goo...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...
>Q3 2024 results 13% above company compiled css - IAG released a strong set of Q3 2024 results with operating profit reported at € 2.013bn (+15% y-o-y), 19% above our estimates and 13% above company compiled consensus. This positive operational performance comes on the back of strong demand on all core markets leading to a passenger unit revenue increase of 1.2% (vs. our virtually flat expectation of 0.3%) despite an exceptionally strong comps and a capacity gr...
>Q3 2024 results 13% above company compiled css - IAG released a strong set of Q3 2024 results with operating profit reported at € 2.013bn (+15% y-o-y), 19% above our estimates and 13% above company compiled consensus. This positive operational performance comes on the back of strong demand on all core markets leading to a passenger unit revenue increase of 1.2% (vs. our virtually flat expectation of 0.3%) despite an exceptionally strong comps and a capacity gr...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 9.329 Bn (+7.9% vs. +6.1% BS(e) and n/a consensus); EBIT: € 2.013 Bn (+15.4% vs. +4.8% BS(e) and +1.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 24.053 Bn (+8.2% vs. +7.5% BS(e) and n/a consensus); EBIT: € 3.322 Bn (+10.5% vs. +4.4% BS(e) and +2.7% consensus);
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