Company Update | Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp496/Target: Rp620) We upgrade our call to BUY from HOLD with a target price of Rp620, revised from Rp600, based on 7.5x 2026 EV/EBITDA (-1.5SD to its five-year average). TOWR’s disciplined expansion, stable 2025 earnings, and strong balance sheet support its defensive profile. Near-term colocation growth faces pressure from industry consolidation, while improving tenancy quality, rising data traffic, and potential 5G/FWA rollout should supp...
Economics | Indonesia’s Foreign Reserves Hit Two-Year Low On Rupiah Defence Foreign reserves fell to US$148.2b (lowest since Jul 24), pushing the import coverage ratio below its historical average. This weakens rupiah defence, raises vulnerability to speculative attacks, and erodes confidence in BI’s forex intervention capacity. The rupiah sank to an all-time low of Rp17,100, pressured by a strong US dollar, Middle East tensions, rapid M2 growth, and widening fiscal and current account deficits....
Greater China Sector Update | Banking China banks generally delivered resilient revenue and earnings growth in 4Q25, supported by stabilising NII and accelerated fee income growth. SOE banks outperformed JSBs, driven by stronger other non-NII growth from profit-taking on AC and FVOCI bonds. Asset quality indicators were broadly stable, although retail asset quality risks remain elevated. Given the improving topline growth and solid dividend yields, we upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT as a de...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the impact of the Middle East conflict on our Asian Coverage Universe. In addition, we review the performance of major Asian credit indices and UST curve movements in March 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of ...
4Q results were decent with revenue and net profit accelerating to 3% and 13.4% YoY respectively, as assets acquired over 10 years ago are now fully depreciated. However EBITDA fell sharply YoY this quarter due to higher operating expenses, and total tenants decreased for the first time in 4Q from 3Q.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
In our inaugural Asia Monthly for 2026, we share our regional credit outlook for the year, with a focus on China, Macau, India and Indonesia. We also provide a review of 2025, in which we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements for the year. In addition, we provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases in December 2025, summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well a...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Sector Update | Telecommunications Indonesia’s fixed-broadband market is entering a transition phase as the 1.4GHz spectrum enables low-cost FWA rollout from 2026 onwards. WIFI is positioned to scale quickly through backbone ownership and potential LINK integration, while ecosystem synergies with INET, PADA, KETR, IRSX and DOOH support rapid expansion. Tower operators may gain tenancy upside, while fixed-broadband ARPU faces pressure. Ultimately, real impact remains dependent on rollout executio...
Sector Update | Telecommunications Indonesia’s fixed-broadband market is entering a transition phase as the 1.4GHz spectrum enables low-cost FWA rollout from 2026 onwards. WIFI is positioned to scale quickly through backbone ownership and potential LINK integration, while ecosystem synergies with INET, PADA, KETR, IRSX and DOOH support rapid expansion. Tower operators may gain tenancy upside, while fixed-broadband ARPU faces pressure. Ultimately, real impact remains dependent on rollout executio...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
Mitratel reported much softer revenue and EBITDA trends on lower ARP/Tenant pricing, partially offset by decent Fiber growth. The TowerCo surpassed the 40k towers mark with accelerated tower and tenancy additions this quarter, led by operators’ ex-Java rollout. We continue to rate Mitratel a Buy with a IDR 740 price target for its ex-Java exposure
Improved trends in Connectivity and FTTH were offset by Tower’s decline after lapping last year’s IBST acquisition. As a result, revenue came in flat while EBITDA slid lower. However, earnings growth improved to mid-single digits on lower D&A and non-operational costs. Our brief takeaway of the results below.
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