Q1 trends, estimates, valuation and top picks

The Q1 reports proved that sector companies could maintain record-high margins despite volume declines.

ABB Ltd: 2 directors

Two Directors at ABB Ltd sold 62,402 shares at between 44.780CHF and 44.933CHF. The significance rating of the trade was 79/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two...

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Shifting Exposure From Growth to Value Note: This is an abbreviated report (no detailed Sector comments or Russell grids). We will return to our normal report structure next week. While the market remains in consolidation/pullback mode and we are not out of the woods, it is possible that further downside is limited from here on the S&P 500. Since late-February, we have discussed important gap support from 2/22/24 at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500, and that as long as the S&P 500 is above 4983 that b...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/19/2024

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ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 19/04/2024

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ABB Ltd. : Solid Q1 reassuring on orders and operational EBITA margin

>Good Q1 set to reassure the market (book-to-bill at 1.1x, operational EBITA margin of 17.9%) - ABB’s Q1 results, reported yesterday morning, were better than expected overall. Order intake came in at $ 9bn, -4% in comparable terms (consensus at -7%), underpinned by the Electrification (EL) and Motion (MO) divisions, at respectively +8% and +1%, while orders fell by 30% at RA and by 20% for Process Automation (PA). Sales came to $ 7.87bn, +2% in comparable terms vs 5%...

ABB Ltd. : Le T1 solide rassure sur les commandes et sur la marge d’EB...

>Le bon T1 rassure (book-to-bill 1.1x, marge d’op. EBIT à 17.9%) - ABB a publié hier matin des résultats T1 globalement meilleurs qu’attendu. Les prises de commandes atteignent 9 Md$, -4% en comparable (consensus à -7%), soutenues par les divisions Electrification (EL) et Motion (MO), à respectivement +8% et +1%, tandis qu’elles reculent de 30% chez RA et de 20% en Process Automation (PA). Le CA atteint 7 870 M$, +2% en comparable vs 5% attendus par le consensus. La m...

ABB (Buy, TP: SEK595.00) - Non, je ne regrette rien

CEO Björn Rosengren’s penultimate report before retiring highlighted the structural improvements made at ABB under his tenure as margins beat our expectations and consensus, and the 2024 margin guidance was raised. We have upgraded to BUY (HOLD) and raised our target price to SEK595 (520), having increased our 2024–2026e operating EBITA by 5–4%. At 15.2x 2024e EV/EBIT (10-year average 15.0x), we believe the stock deserves further re-rating as the valuation still seems to be anchored in historica...

Profitability stars align - guides for 18% margin

Q1'24 op. EBITA margin of 17.9% - above expectations at ~16.5%. Keeps ~5% org. growth view for '24e, adds 18% op. EBITA ambition. We raise op. EBITA by 4-5% in '24e-'25e, reiterate HOLD.

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/18/2024

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ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/04/2024

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ABB Ltd. : A robust start to the year, part of the guidance for 2024 r...

>Q1 2024: book-to-bill of 1.14x, operational EBITA 4% above expectations - This morning, ABB published Q1 sales of $ 7,870m, up 2% l-f-l vs 5% anticipated by the consensus, an “operation EBITA” margin of 17.9% ($ 1,417m) vs 16.8% estimated ($ 1,364m) and order intake of $ 8,974m (a 4% decline l-f-l), better than expected. The book-to-bill was therefore 1.14x. By market, demand remains robust in medium-voltage but the group mentioned (for the first time) a decline in p...

Strong profitability, lifts FY guidance

ABB Ltd. : Un début d’année solide, le groupe relève une partie de sa ...

>T1 2024 : book-to-bill à 1.14x, EBIT opérationnel 4% au-dessus des attentes - ABB a publié ce matin un chiffre d’affaires T1 de 7 870 M$, en hausse de 2% en comparable vs 5% attendus par le consensus, une marge « operational EBITA » de 17.9% (1 417 M$) vs 16.8% attendus (1 364 M$) et des prises de commandes de 8 974 M$ (en recul de 4% en comparable), meilleures qu’attendu. Le book-to-bill atteint ainsi 1.14x. Par marché, la demande reste forte en medium-voltage mais ...

The Capital Goods Data Miner - April 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Assa Abloy, Hexagon, Metso, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

Q1e: Toothless downcycle increasingly discounted

Flat earnings as bad as it gets in mild downturn. Deep-cyclicals now partly de-risked, so value opportunities fewer. Epiroc and Hexpol down to HOLD; prefer Alfa, Assa, Metso, Hexagon, Volvo.

Steady Q1 performance expected

Q1'24 results due on 18 April at 07:00 CET. Steady performance, we raise '24e-'25e op. EBITA by 1-2%. Maintain HOLD, TP up to SEK 485 (455) on slightly higher multiples.

ABB (Hold, TP: SEK520.00) - Some upside to Q1e orders

We are 4% above consensus on Q1e orders but in line on sales and operating EBITA. We expect the company to reiterate its guidance for 2024, and provide Q2 guidance including organic sales growth in the mid-single digits, with a stable or slightly improved operating EBITA margin YOY. We have made small changes to our estimates but have raised our target price to SEK520 (470) reflecting higher peer valuations. We reiterate our HOLD.

ABB Ltd - December 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot 

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/26/2024

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