Company Update | CH. Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt16.20/Target: Bt20.40) We anticipate a robust yoy recovery in 4Q25, supported by healthy construction progress and higher contributions from associates, although results may soften qoq due to typical year-end expenses and seasonal performance from associates. We have turned more optimistic on CK as the post-election political stability should boost the pipeline of public projects being put up for bidding. Maintain BUY, with a target price of Bt20.40.
Top Stories Company Results | GFPT (GFPT TB/HOLD/Bt10.10/Target: Bt11.00) GFPT reported a 4Q25 core profit of Bt494m (+59% yoy but -31% qoq). The results exceeded our and the market’s expectations. 2025’s net profit was Bt2,439m (+23.51%), while core profit stood at Bt2,441m (+30% yoy). Expect unexciting earnings momentum in 2026 due to global competition and lower gross profit margin yoy. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt11.00 (previously Bt13.50). Company Results | PTT (PTT...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile As of mid-Feb 26, over 20 Chinese provinces and cities have announced 2026 vehicle purchase subsidy schemes, aligning with the national policy that shifted to percentage-based subsidies (favouring mid-range to high-end vehicles) from 2025’s fixed amounts. This supports premium segments and market stability but may not fully counter the new 5% EV tax. 2026 PV sales forecast: 30.4m units (+3% yoy); PEV sales: 18.2m units (+19% yoy). Maintain MARKET WEIG...
What’s new: NetEase’s reported 4Q25 results that were below consensus estimates and our expectations partly due to gaming. While performance of new and legacy game titles remains resilient, rev growth could continue to be adversely impacted by longer deferred rev recognition policy. We maintain our PT at USD150. Analysts: Jin Yoon
2025: Marginally Above On Lower Marketing Spend Highlights 2025 results marginally beat our forecasts as margins widened on lower marketing spend Overall beer sales declined as consumer sentiment remained jittery in 2025. We lift our 2026/27 forecasts by +3%/2% respectively, largely on housekeeping after the announcement of its full-year results. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM22.50 (previously RM22.10).
NetEase’s 4Q25 earnings came in below expectations. Revenue grew 3% yoy to Rmb27.5b, 5% below consensus estimates. Gross profit increased 8.7% yoy to Rmb17.7b, with gross margin rising 3ppt yoy to 64.2%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 5% yoy to Rmb9.2b. Non-GAAP net profit plunged 27% yoy to Rmb7.1b, missing consensus estimate. Net margin shrank 10ppt yoy to 26% in 4Q25. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$250.00 (US$154.00).
Greater China Economics | Inflation January headline CPI eased to 0.2% yoy (-0.6ppt mom), below consensus forecasts, mainly due to a high base from last year’s Chinese New Year with food inflation turning negative. Core CPI fell to 0.8% yoy as both goods and services inflation moderated. PPI deflation narrowed to -1.4% yoy (+0.5ppt mom), supported by improvements in processing and non-ferrous metals sub-components, although mining and consumer goods remained weak. Overall, base effects drove CPI...
Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list.
Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
Macau’s Jan 26 GGR reached MOP22.6b, up 8% mom and 24% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level. The Jan 26 GGR number beat market consensus by 5%. Macau visitations for the full-year increased 15% yoy to 40.1m, up 2% vs 2019's level, setting a new historical high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
Chasing The Golden Hours Highlights At a virtual meeting with management yesterday, we highlighted our optimism on Sunway Construction Group’s (Suncon) 2026 outlook. The group’s robust orderbook replenishment and strong DC tender pipelines remain as key catalysts. Implied dividend yield of 5.3-5.5% for 2026-27 is also appealing, based on our 100% dividend payout assumptions. We also see room for further capital management upside. Maintain BUY and target price of RM6.66, which implies 22x 2...
Greater China Company Results | New Oriental Education (EDU US/BUY/US$58.95/Target: US$68.00) EDU delivered a solid 2QFY26 results beat. Revenue grew 15% yoy to US$1,191m, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$73m, beating our and consensus estimates by 27-30% due to ongoing prudent cost control, while net margin expanded 2ppt yoy to 6% for 2QFY26. EDU expects 3QFY26 revenue to grow at an intact 11-14% yoy to US$1,313.2m-1,348.7m, in line with consensus fo...
A director at Ch. Karnchang Plc sold 153,750 shares at 12.600THB and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
Telenor has announced it is selling the majority of its stake in TRUE to a CP Group–affiliated company for THB 11.7, a 4% discount to the market price. In this brief note we discuss implications for TRUE, and thoughts for CelcomDigi.
Company Update | CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt42.25/Target: Bt60.00) We expect 4Q25 net profit of Bt7.3b, flat yoy driven by margin expansion and continued strength in the CVS segment We are impressed that the CVS segment has been able to expand gross margins despite the negative impact from the Half-Half Copayment scheme. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt60.00 (previously Bt65.00).
Top Stories Sector Update | Electronics Earnings are expected to soften qoq in 4Q25 due to the low season, a strong baht, firmer copper prices and tariff overhang. We upgrade DELTA to HOLD, downgrade KCE to SELL, and maintain HOLD on HANA. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector as strong data centres would be offset by higher copper prices and a strong baht. We have no top pick, but see trading opportunities for DELTA, with a trading range of Bt144.00-196.00. Company Update | CP ALL (CPALL T...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
Pockets Of Optimism Largely Priced In Highlights Pockets of optimism brought about by the Visit Malaysia Year and sustained government cash handout will support sentiment. Expected sector earnings growth of 9.2% yoy in 2026 is balanced by modest valuations. Downgrade 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SM) and Eco-Shop Marketing (Eco-Shop) to HOLD following their recent impressive run. QL Resources (QL) is at risk of a FBMKLCI exclusion. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top sector picks: Fraser & Ne...
Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while exports growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is marke...
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