Heineken FIRST LOOK: FY25 operating profit +4.4%, FY26 guidance of 2-6% growth
Heineken's FY25 top line and operating profit figures were slightly better than our forecasts with operating profit in absolute terms in line with consensus. Heineken guides again for sizeable savings efforts in FY26 with operating profit growth guidance calling for a 2-6% range (vs our and consensus forecasts of c. 5%). We still appreciate Heineken for the sizeable self-help initiatives which should support organic earnings growth in the coming years, but acknowledge that the bumpier volume evolution of the past few years makes the investment case a bit less predictable and hence also less appealing. We maintain our Accumulate rating and € 85 TP.Heineken is an international brewer and engaged in the production and distribution of beer brands in 178 countries. Co. is committed to the marketing and consumption of its more than 250 international premium, regional, local and specialty beers and ciders. These include Heineken®, Amstel, Anchor, Biere Larue, Bintang, Birra Moretti, Cruzcampo, Desperados, Dos Equis, Foster's, Newcastle Brown Ale, Ochota, Primus, Sagres, Sol, Star, Strongbow, Tecate, Tiger and Zywiec. In addition, Co. is the cider maker with brands such as Strongbow® and Bulmer's®. Some of its wholesalers also distribute wine, spirits and soft drinks.
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