Report
Jorge Guimarães
EUR 150.00 For Business Accounts Only

Iberian Energy Monthly: August: steady and high prices

August did not bring much change vs previous Summer months, with electricity prices remaining on the high side, driven by the high commodity price environment. CO2 price increase alone should have been responsible for more than 1/3 of the increase in pool prices, which averaged Eur64.5/MWh in the month, up 36% yoy and 33% above the 5Y avg. Iberian electricity demand reached 26.2TWh, +1.5% yoy (accumulated YTD +1.3%). Hydro production more than doubled to 2.8TWh, driven by improved reservoir levels due to higher rainfall levels early in the year, while wind production was down nearly 8% yoy to 3.8TWh, meaning that the thermal gap ended up going down vs last year (-8% yoy) to 8.5TWh. Since that was almost in line with the 5Y avg and nuclear output at 5.1TWh (+1% yoy) has normalized, we believe that our view that pool prices are being driven by input prices is reinforced. Company wise, August should have been a harsh month for companies with higher thermal exposure like Naturgy and Endesa, while for Iberdrola its hydro exposure is likely to have cushioned the impacts of higher thermal costs. Even if in the long run integrated companies tend to pass on higher production costs to final clients, in the short-term the fuel cost evolution dominates the impacts. For wind companies (EDPR and Acciona), higher prices and lower output have contradictory effects, but any price hedges in place may turn the balance to the negative side.
Underlyings
Acciona SA

Acciona is the parent company of a construction group. Co. is engaged in general construction activities in the areas of civil engineering and buildings, including railways, marine and hydraulic works, motorways and airports, town planning, conduits, pavements, parking lots, and industrial and urban buildings. In addition, Co. is engaged in the provision of real estate services, the operation of parking lots, telecommunications, services, ecology and alternative means of energy. Co.'s operations are organized in six business divisions: Infrastructures, Real Estate, Energy, Water, Environmental & Urban Services and Logistic & Transport Services.

EDP Renovaveis SA

EDP Renovaveis is a renewable energy company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in activities related to the electricity sector, namely the planning, construction, operation and maintenance of electricity generating power stations, especially hydroelectric, mini-hydroelectric, wind, solar, thermal solar, photovoltaic, biomass and waste plants, among others. Co. designs, develops, manages and operates power plants. Co. generates electricity using renewable energy sources mostly wind energy. Co. owns EDP Renewables Europe that operates in several European countries and Horizon Wind Energy, which operates in the United States. Co. is a part of the Energias de Portugal group.

Enagas SA

Enagas is a gas transportation company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in the technical distribution and storage of gas through pipelines as well as the provision of regasification services. Co. and subsidiaries are engaged in the ownership, administration, storage, pipeline transportation, distribution flow, and sale of natural gas. As a transport company, Co. also provides gas and manages the gas infrastructures.

Endesa S.A.

Endesa is engaged in the production, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity, through hydroelectric, fossil fuel, and nuclear generation. Co. is also engaged in the mining of coal for use in its fossil-fuel electric plants; mining research; land restoration, and environmental monitoring and control.

Iberdrola SA

Iberdrola is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in four segments: network business, which includes all the energy transmission and distribution activities, and other regulated activity originated in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and Brazil; deregulated business, which includes electricity generation and sales businesses as well as gas trading and storage businesses carried on by Co. in Spain, Portugal, the U.K. and North America; renewable business, with activities related to renewable energies in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and the rest of the world; and other businesses, including the engineering and construction businesses and the non-power businesses.

Naturgy Energy Group S.A.

Gas Natural SDG is a gas company based in Spain. Co. and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the supply, transportation, distribution and commercialization of piped natural gas, as well as the activities involving exploration and developing, supply, regasification, liquefaction and storage of natural gas, and the generation and commercialization of electricity. Co. operates mainly in Spain and also outside of Spain, especially in Latin America, Puerto Rico, Italy, France and Africa (through Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline and integrated LNG projects in Algeria).

Red Electrica Corp. S.A.

Redes Energeticas Nacionais SA

Ren Redes Energeticas Nacionais is engaged in two principal lines of business: electricity transmission, where Co. owns and operates Portugal's national high-voltage electricity transmission network (the "RNT"), and natural gas, where Co. is engaged in the reception, storage and regasification of liquefied natural gas ("LNG"), the operation of the national high-pressure gas transmission network, which Co. owns and operates under respective concessions and the underground storage of natural gas. Co.'s electricity transmission business is conducted through its subsidiary REN - Rede Electrica, which holds a 50 year concession to operate the electricity transmission network in Portugal.

Provider
Haitong Bank, S.A.
Haitong Bank, S.A.

Haitong is the first international Chinese investment bank and our goal is to be the primary channel for capital flows into and out of China. During 2015 the Senior Management Team in London was expanded significantly to focus on this objective and to provide a full-service cross-asset markets business coupled with sector-focused investment banking. We work closely with our world-wide network of offices to bring a true depth of understanding to all client situations.

Analysts
Jorge Guimarães

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