Report
Jorge Guimarães
EUR 150.00 For Business Accounts Only

Iberian Energy Monthly: February: mild weather impacts demand

The month of February was characterized by a generally mild weather pattern in Iberia, which impacted electricity demand, down 4.8% yoy to 24.3TWh (YTD -0.7% yoy). February was also weak in terms of hydro (3.6TWh, up yoy but 35% below the 5Y avg) and especially wind production, where the output of 4.5TWh was down 22% yoy and 34% below the 5Y avg (and the lowest February wind production of the last 8 years). However, the low wind/water impact on prices was cushioned by the low demand, with the thermal gap down yoy (-19% to 5.9TWh), while commodity prices were also marginally down vs Feb-18 (Brent -2%, Coal -0.2%, Gas (TTF) -3%). Even considering that CO2 prices were up 121% yoy – which impacted the composition of the thermal gap, as coal represented just 49% of it vs 62% in Feb-18– the lower thermal gap effect seemed to have prevailed, as the avg pool price in February reached Eur54.2/MWh, down 1.4% vs last year. A month with lower pool prices and low wind production should have been bad for companies like Acciona, EDPR and Iberdrola, while integrated utilities that run short production/long supply positions, like Endesa, should have benefited from lower wholesale electricity prices. Gas demand in Spain was down 4.3% yoy, but YTD it is still up 4.5%, meaning the environment still looks favourable for Enagás (for its variable RCS revenue component).
Underlyings
Acciona SA

Acciona is the parent company of a construction group. Co. is engaged in general construction activities in the areas of civil engineering and buildings, including railways, marine and hydraulic works, motorways and airports, town planning, conduits, pavements, parking lots, and industrial and urban buildings. In addition, Co. is engaged in the provision of real estate services, the operation of parking lots, telecommunications, services, ecology and alternative means of energy. Co.'s operations are organized in six business divisions: Infrastructures, Real Estate, Energy, Water, Environmental & Urban Services and Logistic & Transport Services.

EDP Renovaveis SA

EDP Renovaveis is a renewable energy company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in activities related to the electricity sector, namely the planning, construction, operation and maintenance of electricity generating power stations, especially hydroelectric, mini-hydroelectric, wind, solar, thermal solar, photovoltaic, biomass and waste plants, among others. Co. designs, develops, manages and operates power plants. Co. generates electricity using renewable energy sources mostly wind energy. Co. owns EDP Renewables Europe that operates in several European countries and Horizon Wind Energy, which operates in the United States. Co. is a part of the Energias de Portugal group.

Enagas SA

Enagas is a gas transportation company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in the technical distribution and storage of gas through pipelines as well as the provision of regasification services. Co. and subsidiaries are engaged in the ownership, administration, storage, pipeline transportation, distribution flow, and sale of natural gas. As a transport company, Co. also provides gas and manages the gas infrastructures.

Endesa S.A.

Endesa is engaged in the production, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity, through hydroelectric, fossil fuel, and nuclear generation. Co. is also engaged in the mining of coal for use in its fossil-fuel electric plants; mining research; land restoration, and environmental monitoring and control.

Iberdrola SA

Iberdrola is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in four segments: network business, which includes all the energy transmission and distribution activities, and other regulated activity originated in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and Brazil; deregulated business, which includes electricity generation and sales businesses as well as gas trading and storage businesses carried on by Co. in Spain, Portugal, the U.K. and North America; renewable business, with activities related to renewable energies in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and the rest of the world; and other businesses, including the engineering and construction businesses and the non-power businesses.

Naturgy Energy Group S.A.

Gas Natural SDG is a gas company based in Spain. Co. and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the supply, transportation, distribution and commercialization of piped natural gas, as well as the activities involving exploration and developing, supply, regasification, liquefaction and storage of natural gas, and the generation and commercialization of electricity. Co. operates mainly in Spain and also outside of Spain, especially in Latin America, Puerto Rico, Italy, France and Africa (through Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline and integrated LNG projects in Algeria).

Red Electrica Corp. S.A.

Redes Energeticas Nacionais SA

Ren Redes Energeticas Nacionais is engaged in two principal lines of business: electricity transmission, where Co. owns and operates Portugal's national high-voltage electricity transmission network (the "RNT"), and natural gas, where Co. is engaged in the reception, storage and regasification of liquefied natural gas ("LNG"), the operation of the national high-pressure gas transmission network, which Co. owns and operates under respective concessions and the underground storage of natural gas. Co.'s electricity transmission business is conducted through its subsidiary REN - Rede Electrica, which holds a 50 year concession to operate the electricity transmission network in Portugal.

Provider
Haitong Bank, S.A.
Haitong Bank, S.A.

Haitong is the first international Chinese investment bank and our goal is to be the primary channel for capital flows into and out of China. During 2015 the Senior Management Team in London was expanded significantly to focus on this objective and to provide a full-service cross-asset markets business coupled with sector-focused investment banking. We work closely with our world-wide network of offices to bring a true depth of understanding to all client situations.

Analysts
Jorge Guimarães

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