Report
Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Tough end markets hurt earnings momentum

We have lowered our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY24-26 by a 12-15% range following the FY24 adjusted EBITDA guidance reduction from a 5-10% decline to a 15-20% drop. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating a sizeable free cash flow, which we estimate at c. 120m for FY24 and which represents a FCF yield of c 10%. The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. Despite the disappointing earnings momentum, we consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumulate rating with a € 28 target price.
Underlying
Tessenderlo Group N.V.

Tessenderlo Group is engaged in providing solutions for food, agriculture, water management and use and re-use of natural resources. Co. has three operating segments: Agro, which is engaged in the production and marketing of crop nutrients (liquid crop fertilizers and Sulfate of Potash) and crop protection products; Bio-Valorization, which combines Co.'s activities in animal by-product processing, comprised of Akiolis (rendering, production and sales of proteins and fats) and PB Gelatins (production and sales of gelatins); and Industrial Solutions, with activities including the production and sales of plastic pipes systems and water treatment chemicals.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

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Analysts
Wim Hoste

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