Report
Seth Goldstein
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

CF's Nitrogen Production Benefits From Low-Cost U.S. Natural Gas

No-moat CF Industries reported solid fourth-quarter results, as adjusted EBITDA grew 31% year on year to $349 million, driven by higher prices and lower natural gas input costs. We forecast lower U.S. natural gas prices in 2019 than in 2018, which should boost CF’s profits, since natural gas is the feedstock for its nitrogen production. Having updated our model to incorporate lower U.S. natural gas prices, we increase our fair value estimate to $50 per share from $48.
We maintain our 2019 urea n...
Underlying
CF Industries Holdings Inc.

CF Industries Holdings is a global fertilizer and chemical company. The company's principal nitrogen fertilizer products are anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution and ammonium nitrate. The company's other nitrogen products include diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid and aqua ammonia, which are sold primarily to its industrial customers, and compound fertilizer products, which are solid granular fertilizer products for which the nutrient content is a combination of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. The company serves its customers in North America through its production, storage, transportation and distribution network.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Seth Goldstein

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