Lowering CNOOC’s and PetroChina’s FVEs on Weaker Oil Prices; Bigger Buffers Needed to be a Buyer
Brent crude oil has fallen from over $70 a barrel in late April to about $61 today on the back of concerns on global demand amid the trade tension between the U.S. and China. We lower CNOOC's and PetroChina’s fair value estimates to HKD 14.30 per share ($183 per ADR) and HKD 4.70 per share ($60 per ADR, CNY 4.04 per share) from HKD 14.50 ($186) and HKD 5.10 ($65, CNY 4.38), respectively, after incorporating weaker near-term crude oil price assumptions in our valuation models. However, our midcyc...Cnooc is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is principally engaged in the exploration, development, production and sale of crude oil, natural gas and other petroleum products in offsore of the People's Republic of China. Co.'s core operation areas are Bohai, Western South China Sea, Eastern South China Sea and East China Sea in offshore China. Co. has oil and gas assets in Asia, Africa, North America, South America, Oceania and Europe. As of Dec 31 2016, net proved reserves for oil, gas, and synthetic oil were 2,015.4 million barrels, 7,486.1 billion cubic feet, and 7,486.1 million barrels, respectively.
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