​Alibaba Group has provided an atypical mid-quarter update to analysts, apparently to rein in optimistic expectations after a better-than-expected Q4 14 report. We have been more bearish than our peers so this only results in modest downgrades to our forecasts but it is enough for us to lower our target price from $97 to $95 even with a roll-over of our valuation from FY14 to FY15. We believe the near-term outlook remains challenging and the guidance update underscores that. We remain at Neutral.
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