Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Deutlicher Umsatzanstieg dank Auftragsverschiebungen

Nach der deutlichen Outperformance (LTM +15,6% vs. DAX
-2,6%) bestätigen wir unser aus einem dreiphasigen DCF-Entity-Modell ermitteltes Kursziel von EUR 3,80 je Aktie (Base Case-Szenario) und angesichts eines von uns auf Sicht von 24 Monaten erwarteten Kurspotenzials von 82,7% auch unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der amalphi AG. Am Gründonnerstag hat amalphi Eckdaten für das abgelaufene Geschäftsjahr 2018e veröffentlicht. Bei Umsätzen von EUR 2,060 Mio. (Vorjahr EUR 1,961 Mio., +5,1% YoY) konnte das operative Ergebnis des Vorjahres (EUR -0,540 Mio.) aufgrund deutlich höherer externer Kosten mit EUR -0,730 Mio. nicht erreicht werden. Das laufende Geschäftsjahr wird jedoch Angabe gemäß von Umsatzverschiebungen des Vorjahres profitieren, was durch eine 39,1%ige Steigerung der Umsätze im ersten Quartal belegt werden kann. Insgesamt rechnet der Vorstand für 2019e mit einem Umsatzanstieg auf EUR 2,8 Mio. (+35,9% YoY) und einem positiven Nachsteuerergebnis. In den Folgejahren erwarten wir einen weiteren deutlichen Umsatz- und Ergebnisanstieg, der durch wertsteigernde Übernahmen nochmals deutlich ausgebaut werden könnte.

Underlying
medondo holding AG, formerly amalphi AG

medondo holding AG is a Germany-based company that offers multivendor services for the maintenance of information technology (IT) infrastructure. The Company's warranty extension service concept covers hardware and servers from various manufactures, such as Dell, Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Cisco and Oracle, among others. The service offering is available worldwide and includes Third Party Maintenance, based on flexible customer-specific Service Level Agreements (SLAs), amalphi Investment Protection (IP), which also assumes the risk and cost of system failure, and additional services, including managed services, roll-outs, removals and certified data carrier destruction, among others. The Company cooperates with Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM). Its customers include businesses ranging from small and medium enterprises to large corporations, as well as professional IT providers, including cloud and data center providers and system houses.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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