Gestern hat Erlebnis Akademie (eak) die Eckdaten zum Jahresabschluss 2018e vorgelegt. Während umsatzseitig die Gui-dance übertroffen wurde, konnten auf EBIT-Ebene die Vorgaben nicht vollumfänglich erreicht werden. Verantwortlich hierfür ist Angabe gemäß die unter den Erwartungen liegende Entwicklung des im Sommer 2018 eröffneten Baumwipfelpfades Salzkammergut. Inzwischen wurden jedoch verschiedene Maßnahmen ergriffen, die dazu beitragen sollen, die Besucherzahlen bereits in diesem Jahr in Richtung der ursprünglich avisierten Niveaus zu heben. In Verbindung mit der für das dritte Quartal 2019e vorgesehenen Neueröffnung im slowenischen Rogla rechnen wir im laufenden Geschäftsjahr mit einem Umsatzanstieg auf EUR 17,9 Mio. (+16,9% YoY) und einem operativen Ergebnis in Höhe von EUR 3,3 Mio. (+52,8% YoY). Aufgrund der unter unseren Erwartungen liegenden Ertragsentwicklung 2018e ermitteln wir aus unserem dreistufigen DCF-Entity-Modell nun einen Wert des Eigenkapitals von EUR 26,70 je Aktie (bislang EUR 27,20). Dies entspricht einem auf Zwölfmonatssicht erwarteten Kurssteigerungspotenzial von 54,3%; wir bestätigen daher unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der eak.
Erlebnis Akademie AG is a Germany-based company engaged in the leisure and recreation industry. The Company designs, constructs and operates barrier-free nature experience facilities. It operates three treetop paths in Germany in the Bavarian and Black Forests, and in the Czech Republic in Lipno. In addition, the Company provides seminar, event and team training. Its partners include Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt, Lesycr, Nationalpark Bayerischer Wald and Naturpark Schwarzwald Mitte/Nord. The Company operates Akademie Adrenalinovych Zazitku sro and DoNature GmbH as wholly owned subsidiaries, and Stezka Korunami Stromu Krkonose sro as a majority owned subsidiary.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
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