Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Konzernumsatz steigt zum Halbjahr um geschätzt 57,5%

Da die im Ausland eröffneten Baumwipfelpfade im AG-Abschluss nicht enthalten sind, wird die tatsächliche Entwicklung des eak-Konzerns in den veröffentlichten Zahlen zum ersten Halbjahr 2018 signifikant unterzeichnet. Nach unseren Berechnungen hat eak inklusive der Neueröffnungen in Tschechien und des die Erwartungen weit übertreffenden Baumwipfelpfads in der Slowakei seine Umsätze zum Halbjahr um 57,5% steigern können, während im AG-Abschluss ein Umsatzwachstum von lediglich 1,6% berichtet wird. Belegt wird dies durch die Besucherzahlen, die über alle sieben Baumwipfelpfade nach sechs Monaten um 49,7% auf nunmehr 726.000 gesteigert werden konnten. Nach Einarbeitung der über unseren Erwartungen liegenden H1-Zahlen erhöht sich unser aus einem dreistufigen DCF-Entity-Modell abgeleitetes Zwölfmonats-Kursziel auf EUR 21,50 von EUR 20,30 je Aktie. Gegenüber dem gestrigen Schlusskurs von EUR 18,00 entspricht dies einem Kurssteigerungspotenzial von 19,4%. Nach der klaren Outperformance (LTM +83,1% vs. DAX 0,2%) bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Erlebnis Akademie

Underlying
Erlebnis Akademie AG

Erlebnis Akademie AG is a Germany-based company engaged in the leisure and recreation industry. The Company designs, constructs and operates barrier-free nature experience facilities. It operates three treetop paths in Germany in the Bavarian and Black Forests, and in the Czech Republic in Lipno. In addition, the Company provides seminar, event and team training. Its partners include Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt, Lesycr, Nationalpark Bayerischer Wald and Naturpark Schwarzwald Mitte/Nord. The Company operates Akademie Adrenalinovych Zazitku sro and DoNature GmbH as wholly owned subsidiaries, and Stezka Korunami Stromu Krkonose sro as a majority owned subsidiary.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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