The market continued its downward momentum but quickly found support in the area around 1,165 points, the low of April 2024, and rebounded. Liquidity continued to increase compared to the previous session, indicating that supply is dominant across the entire market, but bargain-hunting cash flow is also active. The current movement shows that the market has temporarily identified a low price area after the recent sharp decline, which is around the 1,160 point area. The current support signal...
The tariffs announced by Trump increased uncertainties over the Fed’s rate cuts, weighing on the recovery of the Hong Kong residential market and tourism. The mainland property market will be less affected, backed by China’s relatively independent monetary policy. For 2025, leading SOE developers’ earnings stabilisation will be a key highlight. Maintain sector weights with this pecking order: China property>Hong Kong developers>Hong Kong landlords. Top picks: CR Land and SHKP.
We expect net profit for 1Q25 to decline both qoq and yoy, mainly due to reduced sales volumes and increased unit costs. Core profit in 1Q25 is likely to be the lowest for the year. For 2Q25, we expect a qoq improvement in core profit, supported by sustained high gas prices and a 4% qoq increase in sales volume. Meanwhile, the Mozambique project remains on schedule, with production expected to commence in 1H29. Maintain BUY with a new target price of Bt155.00.
We reiterate our view on the need to focus on livestock players following strong gross margin improvements and limited exposure to the US. Meanwhile, we foresee an overhang for TU and ITC on high export contribution to the US. The measures are expected to be launched as the US pressures Thailand to reduce its trade deficit. Downgrade the food sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are TFG and BTG.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlords The tariffs announced by Trump increased uncertainties over the Fed’s rate cuts, weighing on the recovery of the Hong Kong residential market and tourism. The mainland property market will be less affected, backed by China’s relatively independent monetary policy. For 2025, leading SOE developers’ earnings stabilisation will be a key highlight. Maintain sector weights with this pecking order: China property>Hong Kong de...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Food Global trade uncertainties to impact sector outlook. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Update PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt106.00/Target: Bt155.00) 1Q25 net profit expected to decline but will be the lowest point of 2025.
US sweeping new tariffs shake global trade landscape, broadly negative for credit
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yuexiu Property, Tata Motors, Softbank Group
KEY HIG HLIGH TS Company Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Page 2 Good earnings visibility over 2025-26 as management focuses on profitability. Look towards a mainboard listing by year-end. Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK/BUY/RM4.39/Target: RM6.00) Page 5 New alumina refinery expansion and lower alumina costs to drive growth in 2025. UOBKH Highlights Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM3.94/Target: RM4.40) Page 8 Gas supply curtailment by PETGAS given the gas leak in Putra ...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has assigned the following definitive ratings to the notes issued by Permanent Custodians Limited as trustee of Turquoise I Series 2025-1 Trust. IMPORTANT NOTICE: MOODY'S RATINGS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS. SUCH USE WOULD BE RECKLESS AND...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
When the news of the Trump tariffs first hit the tapes, we didn’t write anything initially as a) we didn’t think we had much of value to add to the thousands of column inches already written on the topic, and b) the direct impact from the tariffs to the EU telecoms sector is minimal – resulting in relative outperformance for the group over the past few days.
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has assigned a Aa3 rating to the $35.7 million Connecticut Higher Education Supplemental Loan Authority's (CHESLA) State Supported Revenue Bonds (CHESLA Loan Program) 2025 Series B-1 - AMT and a Aa3/VMIG 1 to the $30 million CHESLA's State Supported Revenue Bonds (CHESLA Lo...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Market Strategy: Turbulence to continue – stay with domestic-focused stocks. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Exchange (SGX SP): Trading SELL DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP): Trading BUY
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has upgraded Doylestown Hospital, PA's revenue bond ratings to A3 from B2. Concurrently, the rating has been placed under review for further upgrade; previously the outlook was positive. Doylestown has approximately $170 million of debt outstanding. The upgrade to A3 from...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has upgraded the ratings of 46 bonds and downgraded the ratings of three bonds from nine US residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A, Option ARM, Prime Jumbo, and Subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers. Please click on this link
Our portfolio in Mar 25 outperformed relative to the JCI and LQ45 by +3.3%/+2.7% respectively (simple average). In terms of the weighted average free float market cap, the portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +10.9%/+10.3% respectively due to a large rebound in BBRI. We remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF, and add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA to our portfolio. Given Trump’s 32% reciprocal tariffs on Indonesia, our portfolio picks lean towards defensive stocks: BBCA, ICBP, ERAA, EXCL, MIKA,...
Strategy: Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. TRADERS’ CORNER ESSA Industries Indonesia (ESSA IJ): Technical BUY Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ): Technical BUY
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