Report
Valens Research

ALRM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 04 25

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 37.7x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management has concerns about revenues, earnings, and customer engagement

Specifically, management may have concerns about local marketing initiatives with their service providers, and may lack confidence in the sustainability of SaaS and license gross margins and revenue improvements. In addition, they may lack confidence in the sustainability of non-GAAP net income improvements, and may be concerned about their ability to continue finding valuable growth opportunities going forward. Additionally, they may have concerns about their Google Home integration, and may lack confidence in their ability to use their business intelligence tools to drive higher customer engagement
Underlying
Alarm.com Holdings Inc.

Alarm.com is a platform for the intelligently connected property. The company provides a suite of cloud-based solutions for smart residential and commercial properties. The company's service provider partners can deploy its interactive security, video monitoring, intelligent automation and energy management solutions as stand-alone offerings or as combined solutions to address the needs of a range of customers. The company's subscribers can connect to their property through the company's family of mobile apps, websites, and engagement platforms like voice control through Amazon Echo and Google Home, wearable devices like the Apple Watch and TV platforms such as Apple TV and Amazon Fire TV.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch