Report
Valens Research

ALV - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 12 09

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV:USA) currently trades below recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with an 18.4x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about raw material costs, demand, and guidance.

Specifically, management is confident their raw material costs will increase by approximately 60bps. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the impact of the General Motors strike on their profitability, and they may lack confidence in their ability to improve efficiency through restructuring. Finally, they may be concerned about further erosion in European demand, and they may lack confidence in their ability to meet their full-year guidance for 2019.
Underlying
Autoliv Inc.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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