Report
Valens Research

AVGO - Valens Credit Report - 2022 10 12

Credit markets may be materially overstating AVGO's credit risk with a YTW of 5.834% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.304% and an Intrinsic CDS of 47bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating AVGO's fundamental credit risk with its Baa3 credit rating three notches below Valens' IG3- (A3) credit rating.

That said, Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for credit holders. AVGO's metrics should drive management to focus on expanding margins and fueling growth, which could lead to Uniform ROA expansion. However, creditors may be concerned about management's potential overleveraging of the firm's balance sheet to finance growth since elevated interest expenses would not hurt their total compensation.
Underlying
Broadcom Inc.

Broadcom, via its subsidiaries, is a designer, developer and supplier of a range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The company develops semiconductor devices with a focus on digital and mixed signal complementary metal oxide semiconductor based devices and analog III-V based products. The company provides products that are used in end products such as enterprise and data center networking, home connectivity, set-top boxes, broadband access, telecommunication equipment, smartphones and base stations, data center servers and storage systems, and factory automation. The company has three segments: semiconductor solutions, infrastructure software and intellectual property licensing.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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