Report
Valens Research

COP - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 07 24

ConocoPhillips (COP:USA) currently trades around corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 16.2x Uniform P/E, implying modest expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about oil prices and organic portfolio growth.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their through-cycle return strategy, and in their ability to drive organic growth within their portfolio. Moreover, management appears concerned about their ability to acquire assets at reasonable prices in the near-term, and may lack confidence in their ability to settle their payment dispute in Venezuela. Finally, management appears concerned about sustained oil pricing pressure, and may be concerned about growth in the second half of 2019.
Underlying
CONOCOPHILLIPS

ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company engaged in exploring for, producing, transporting and marketing crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas and natural gas liquids. The company's segments include: Alaska, which operates in Alaska; Lower 48, which operates in the United States and the Gulf of Mexico; Canada, which operates in Alberta and British Columbia; Europe and North Africa, which consists of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya; Asia Pacific and Middle East, which operates in China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia, Qatar, and Timor-Leste; and Other International, which operates in Colombia, Chile and Argentina.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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