CTSH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 12 01
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation (CTSH:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 17.9x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Given management's optimism about their digital momentum and strong backlog, market expectations are too bearish, and longer-term equity performance is likelySpecifically, management generated an excitement marker when saying that digital momentum is ongoing with continued strength in revenue, digital bookings, and qualified pipeline. They are also confident that strong bookings growth enabled healthy amounts of backlog throughout the year
Given management's optimism about their digital momentum and strong backlog, market expectations are too bearish. As such, longer-term equity performance is likely for CTSH going forward
Cognizant Technology Solutions is a services company, transforming customers' business, operating and technology models for the digital era. The company's services include digital services and solutions, consulting, application development, systems integration, application testing, application maintenance, infrastructure services and business process services. Additionally, the company develops, licenses, implements and supports proprietary and third-party software products and platforms. The company has organized its services and solutions into four practice areas: Digital Business, Digital Operations, Digital Systems and Technology and Consulting.
In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:
- GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
- Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
- Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
- Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available
We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.
- Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
- Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
- Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
- The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming
The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.
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