Report
Valens Research

FFIV - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 10 15

F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV) currently trades above historical and corporate averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 28.4x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to gradually recover back to 2019 levels of 28%, accompanied by 5% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analyst expectations for 21% Uniform ROA and 4% Uniform asset growth imply a stock price approaching $157, representing 23% equity downside for the firm.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about their growth, software business, and government clients.
Underlying
F5 Networks Inc.

F5 Networks is a provider of multi-cloud application services, which enable its customers to develop, deploy, operate, secure, and govern applications in any architecture, from on-premises to the public cloud. The company's application services are available as cloud-based, software-as-a-service, and software-only solutions supported for multi-cloud environments. In connection with its solutions, the company provides a range of services, including consulting, training, installation, maintenance, and other technical support services. The company's products and solutions include hardware platforms, software and software-as-a-service platforms, cloud-based managed services, and service provider solutions.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch