Report
Valens Research

GPS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 11 01

The Gap, Inc. (GPS:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for profitability to improve slightly, but management may be concerned about their inventory levels, weather-related headwinds, and SG&A costs.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to match inventory levels to forecast demand, and they may be concerned about the impact of weather on 2019 performance. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to realize cost savings through projects, and they may be concerned about SG&A related pressures through the second half of the year.
Underlying
Gap Inc.

The Gap is an apparel retail company. The company provides apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children under the Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, Athleta, Intermix, and Hill City brands. The company has stores in the U.S., Canada, the U.K., France, Ireland, Japan, Italy, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Mexico, and has franchise agreements with unaffiliated franchisees to operate Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic stores throughout Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. Under these agreements, third parties operate stores that sell apparel and related products under the company's brand names.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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