Report
Valens Research

GATX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 08 16

GATX Corporation (GATX:USA) currently trades at a discount to Uniform asset values, with a 0.9x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to expand, but management may have concerns about lease rates, long-run fleet levels, and the feasibility of investment into the aircraft engine space.

Specifically, management may have concerns about the pace of the recovery of lease
rates, their fleet levels, and the remaining opportunity for smaller fleets following CDPQ's acquisition of Ermewa. Also, management may have concerns about setting their guidance for the third and fourth quarter of 2021 and the feasibility of investment into aircraft engines, given tighter market availability.
Underlying
GATX Corporation

GATX is a global railcar lessor. The Rail North America segment provides railcars pursuant to full-service leases under which it maintains the railcars, pays ad valorem taxes and property insurance, and provides other ancillary services. The Rail International segment leases railcars pursuant to full-service leases under which it maintains the railcars and provides services according to customer requirements. The Portfolio Management segment leases aircraft spare engines, as well as five liquefied gas-carrying vessels. The American Steamship Company segment provides waterborne transportation of dry bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal, limestone aggregates, and metallurgical limestone.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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