Report
Valens Research

HOLX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 07 20

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 13.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about their business operations and Panthers

Specifically, management may be concerned about their investments in the diagnostics business and the temporary shut down and shortened workweeks in their several manufacturing plants, and they may lack confidence in their ability to reduce operating expenses. Moreover, they may be exaggerating interest in Panthers, and exaggerating the potential of a COVID assay addition to the Panther menu. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to provide real-time robust diagnostic testing and test their health care workers regularly
Underlying
Hologic Inc.

Hologic is a developer, manufacturer and supplier of diagnostics products, medical imaging systems, surgical products and light-based aesthetic and medical treatment systems. The company's segments are: Diagnostics, which provides diagnostic products which are used to aid in the diagnosis of human diseases; Breast Health, which provides solutions for breast cancer care for radiology, pathology and surgery; Medical Aesthetics, which provides aesthetic treatment systems, including SculpSure, PicoSure and MonaLisa Touch; GYN Surgical, which includes NovaSure Endometrial Ablation System to treat abnormal uterine bleeding; and Skeletal Health, which includes the Horizon DXA, a dual energy x-ray system.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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