Report
Valens Research

MSFT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 06 04

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 23.8x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management is confident in Xbox, demand, and their servers

Specifically, management generated an excitement marker when saying that they grew Xbox Live monthly active users by 13% to 59 million, driven by user expansion across Xbox One. Additionally, they are confident that they have consistently acted in line with user privacy, and are confident in Cosmos DB. Furthermore, they are confident that they continue to see healthy enterprise demand for Windows 10 benefiting their OEM partners, and that their ability to allow customers to easily transition from Windows or SQL to Azure with only a small uplift in price is a core component of their hybrid server leadership
Underlying
Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft is a technology company. The company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The company provides an array of services, including cloud-based solutions as well as solution support and consulting services. The company also delivers relevant online advertising. The company's products include operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; and video games. The company also designs, manufactures, and sells devices, including personal computers, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other devices, and related accessories.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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