Report
Valens Research

PYPL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 04 24

 PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL:USA) currently trades at historical highs relative to
UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 35.5x Uniform P/E. Even at these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to remain stable, and management may be concerned about growth, margins, and acquisition integration

 Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to meet total payment volume and non-GAAP EPS guidance, expand operating margins, and sustain active accounts growth, specifically in China. Furthermore, they may be overstating the flexibility of their balance sheet and the potential value of the Honey app to the PayPal network. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to mitigate Synchrony servicing revenue headwinds, continue to return cash to shareholders, and integrate MercadoPago into their PayPal merchant network. Moreover, they may be concerned about payment processor competition and the progress of their acquisition integration. Finally, they may have concerns about their ability to strengthen cross-border payment volume in China, their commercial partnership with MercadoLibre, and transaction expenses
Underlying
PayPal Holdings Inc

PayPal Holdings is a technology platform and digital payments company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants worldwide. The company's combined payment solutions include its PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom and iZettle products and services. PayPal's payment solutions enable the company's customers to send and receive payments. PayPal helps merchants and consumers connect, transact, and complete payments, whether they are online, on a mobile device, in an app, or in person. The company provides proprietary payment solutions accepted by merchants that enable the completion of payments on the company's Payments Platform on behalf of its customers.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch