Report
Valens Research

SQ - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 08 06

Square, Inc. (SQ:USA) is currently trading at historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 150.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, though management may have concerns about new competition entering the payment market

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to continue strong growth rates in existing markets, a result of increased competition in the space. Additionally, management may have concerns about slowing usage rates of their Cash Card. Moreover, management may lack confidence in their ability to receive approval for an ILC charter (Industrial Loan Company), which would limit growth within the Square Capital segment. Finally, management may have concerns about their ability to efficiently integrate Weebly once the merger is closed
Underlying
Square Inc. Class A

Square is a commerce ecosystem that combines software with hardware to enable sellers to turn mobile devices and computing devices into payment and point-of-sale solutions. With the company's offering, a seller can accept payments via magnetic stripe, Europay, MasterCard, and Visa, or Near Field Communication; or online via Square Invoices, Square Virtual Terminal, or the seller's website or app. Also, sellers can gain access to reporting and analytics, next-day settlements, digital receipts, payment dispute and chargeback management, security, and Payment Card Industry compliance. The company's Cash App enable individuals to send and receive money electronically to and from individuals and businesses.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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