Report
Valens Research

SQ - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 10 2

Square, Inc. (SQ:USA) is currently trading at historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 100.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about their growth opportunity in restaurants, and their ability to expand their customer base and adapt as their business grows

Specifically, management may be exaggerating their growth potential in the restaurant business, and may lack confidence in the performance of their point-of-sale products in unpredictable network environments. Additionally, they may lack confidence in the adaptability of their business as they increase their offerings, and may be exaggerating their degree of optionality moving forward. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to expand their customer base, and may be exaggerating the consistency of their growth drivers. Finally, they may be exaggerating the extent to which restaurants encourage their customers to use the Caviar platform and download the app
Underlying
Square Inc. Class A

Square is a commerce ecosystem that combines software with hardware to enable sellers to turn mobile devices and computing devices into payment and point-of-sale solutions. With the company's offering, a seller can accept payments via magnetic stripe, Europay, MasterCard, and Visa, or Near Field Communication; or online via Square Invoices, Square Virtual Terminal, or the seller's website or app. Also, sellers can gain access to reporting and analytics, next-day settlements, digital receipts, payment dispute and chargeback management, security, and Payment Card Industry compliance. The company's Cash App enable individuals to send and receive money electronically to and from individuals and businesses.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch