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Valens Research

UTHR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 09 29

United Therapeutics Corporation (UTHR:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 10.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may have concerns about treprostinil developments, the Tyvaso 25/25 goal, and the potential of their Phase 3 trials.

Specifically, management may have concerns about the progress of their next-generation treprostinil pipeline, the potential of their PERFECT and TETON Phase 3 studies, and the sustainability of forced vital capacity (FVC) improvements in the INCREASE study. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to achieve their 25/25 (25,000 Tyvaso patients by 2025) goal, continue hitting pipeline milestones, and sustain record treprostinil revenue.
Underlying
United Therapeutics Corporation

United Therapeutics is a biotechnology company. The company markets and sells four commercial therapies to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH): Remodulin? (treprostinil) Injection; Tyvaso? (treprostinil) Inhalation Solution; Orenitram? (treprostinil) Extended-Release Tablets; and Adcirca? (tadalafil) Tablets. The company also markets and sells an oncology product, Unituxin? (dinutuximab) Injection for treatment of high-risk neuroblastoma. The company also engages in research and development of new indications and formulations and delivery devices for its existing products, as well as new products to treat PAH and other conditions. The company also engages in organ transplantation-related technologies.

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