Report
Valens Research

DIS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 06 04

The Walt Disney Company (DIS:USA) currently trades near historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 19.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, but management is excited about Avengers: Endgame and Jessica Jones, and is confident in the interest surrounding Marvel movies and their ability to retrieve content from Netflix.

Specifically, management generated excitement markers when talking about the success of Avengers: Endgame and the gains from their sale of season 3 of Jessica Jones. Moreover, they are confident in the interest surrounding new Marvel movies and their ability to retrieve licensed content from Netflix.
Underlying
Walt Disney Company

Walt Disney is an entertainment company. The company's segments are: Media Networks, which includes domestic cable networks, broadcast television network and domestic television stations, and television production and distribution; Parks, Experiences and Products, which includes theme parks and resorts, and consumer products operations; Studio Entertainment, which includes motion picture production and distribution, music production and distribution, and post-production services; and Direct-to-Consumer and International, which includes international television networks and channels, direct-to-consumer streaming services, and other digital content distribution platforms and services.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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