Report

MARKET IN JANUARY – THE 4TH QUARTER EARNINGS SEASON

  • In December, the stock market continued to exhibit a positive trend. However, both the momentum of growth and market liquidity experienced a slowdown. Foreign investors marked the month with their strongest net selling of the year.
  • In our baseline scenario, we estimate that: (1) Fourth-quarter revenue may achieve a growth rate of 6.9% YoY, aligning with the GDP growth rate of the Q4; (2) Profit margins are expected to remain consistent with the levels seen in the first nine months of the year, corresponding to a +24% change YoY, and Q4 profits are anticipated to grow by approximately 31% YoY, with a 12-month cumulative change of 7% QoQ. Additionally, (3) We assume that the impact of the issuance of additional shares will be negligible and, with the VNIndex at 1,131 as of January 2, 2023, the P/E ratio could adjust downward by 7% to 13.15x, or an earnings yield (E/P) of 7.6%. This yield is significantly attractive compared to Vietcombank's 12-month savings rate of 4.80%.
Provider
Viet Dragon Securities
Viet Dragon Securities

Viet Dragon Securities belongs to top 20 biggest securities companies in terms of chartered capital in Vietnam. With a qualified, dedicated and professional team, a widespread network, advanced technology, diversified products and services, and good relationship with local and foreign institutions, we provide a wide range of services and products to our clients both individuals and institutions, both local and foreign. We commit to provide our clients with promising investment opportunities and a comprehensive and professional financial investment services.

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Analysts
Hung Le

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