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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs – How would a recession affect our coverage?

The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk

AMAT acquiring a 9% stake in Besi. Our take.

Yesterday afternoon, AMAT announced it has acquired a 9% stake in Besi. Please see the link below for the key facts and our take.

Arista Networks Inc: 1 director

A director at Arista Networks Inc sold/sold after exercising options 160,000 shares at 66.787USD and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs. Figuring the right baseline to assess implications

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. We chose to help layout a simple and strong analytical baseline to understand the first-order impact of tariffs on our coverage. In a few slides we have summarised the groundwork and look forward to continuing the work and help our readers make sense of implications in weeks to come.

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
HCO HIGHCO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
NTG NETGEM SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
FR VALEO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
QDT QUADIENT SA
POS PORR AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FYB FORMYCON AG
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
FACC FACC AG
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
JST JOST WERKE AG
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
ALCUR ARCURE SA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FAST FASTNED
ALAFY AFYREN
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
LHYFE LHYFE S.A.
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
TUI TUI AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
HCO HIGHCO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
NTG NETGEM SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
FR VALEO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
QDT QUADIENT SA
POS PORR AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FYB FORMYCON AG
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
FACC FACC AG
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
JST JOST WERKE AG
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
ALCUR ARCURE SA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FAST FASTNED
ALAFY AFYREN
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
LHYFE LHYFE S.A.
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
TUI TUI AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARC-AGI-2: Pushing the measure of intelligence beyond test-time comput...

The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. ​​​​​For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24: Enterprise IT – continued recovery in Legacy, stabilizatio...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending recovery continued, with major players again reporting double-digit order growth across core legacy portfolios. Al server demand remained strong, although some revenue recognition ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AI buildouts: How is 2026 shaping up? What do we know already?

The outlook for 2025 AI datacenter spending is solid, with the debate now shifting to 2026 and the supply-demand trajectory. As the last earnings season is still fresh in our minds and our team just came back from Asia, we have gathered in this short note all what we know so far of 2026, and implications.

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