HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 July) • OPAP: acquires remaining 15.5% stake in Stoiximan POSITIVE • Solutions by STC: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow) • Borouge: 2Q25E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25E results preview – 3% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 August) • Erste Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 1 August) • OTP Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 5 August) • Bank Pekao: 2Q25E preview (due on 7 August) • PKO BP: 2Q2...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 July) • EU macro: US tariff announcement worse than expected • PKO BP: to book PLN 1.25bn of FX mortgage saga costs in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: MSCI to keep the stock in the Greece Standard index, as largely expected • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 August)
Five Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold after exercising options/sold 23,535 shares at between 27,498.000HUF and 27,639.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by a...
Brent crude oil prices rose USD 5.8/bbl vs. the previous month, on the fear of a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite rising crude prices, a strong diesel crack means that the WOOD benchmark also improved, to USD 13.0/bbl, the highest level since March 2024. Petrochemicals margins were lower, but not affected by the high oil prices, as may have been expected.
Two Directors at Orlen S.A bought 4,010 shares at between 76.890PLN and 77.000PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
Brent crude prices continued to decline in May, but trends within the month suggest that we may have hit the bottom. The WOOD benchmark refining margin strengthened again, to USD 11.5/bbl, with all product groups and differentials playing their part. Petrochemicals remained in the doldrums, despite lower input costs. The gas market appears to be stable, but prices are sticky. Storage rose to 48% full at the end of the month, similar to the seasonal average. LNG imports declined a little, but cum...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
We keep Erste Bank as a BUY and set our new 12M price target (PT) at EUR 85.1 (up from EUR 57.0), offering 20% upside. This profound PT increase is due to two factors: first, we have raised our 2025E net profit forecast by 22% on a comparable geographic basis, on the strong revenue performance, and solid asset quality delivery and guidance so far this year. If just focusing on this factor, we would see the current valuation as rightly reflecting c.EUR 3bn of average annual profits both this and ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
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