reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging & Frontier Markets The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days -- and even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). The Fed's next move is almost guaranteed to be a cut (though when it happens is up for debate). And ...
GBX GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC.
HL HANNIBAL LEASE
WLK WESTLAKE CHEMICAL CORPORATION
TRN TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC.
OEC ORION ENGINEERED CARBONS SA
KOP KOPPERS HOLDINGS INC.
BAK BRASKEM S/A ADS
MX. METHANEX CORPORATION
EDR. ENDEAVOUR SILVER CORP.
SVM. SILVERCORP METALS
FR. FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP.
FVI. FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC.
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
CENX CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY
GATX GATX CORPORATION
KALU KAISER ALUMINUM CORPORATION
RAIL FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
VVV VALVOLINE INC.
AA ALCOA CORPORATION
FSTR L.B. FOSTER CO.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
WPM WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP
NOHA NORSK HYDRO ASA ADS
AWCMY ALUMINA LTD ADS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CDE COEUR MINING INC
PLG PULDIN LION GROUP REIT-SOFIA
Pan American Silver Corp: 1 director
A director at Pan American Silver Corp bought 25,000 shares at 13.326CAD and the significance rating of the trade was 81/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - FY23 results: Follow the cash flow
Pan American Silver (PAAS) has released its FY23 financial results, which are in line with our estimates at the EBITDA level, an encouraging outcome given the operationally challenging year. While the bottom line was once again affected by non-cash one-offs, cash flow generation was robust, with FY23 operating cash flow of US$450m. We have slightly adjusted our FY24 estimates and rolled the model forward, resulting in a marginally updated valuation of US$22.2/share. The company’s decision to lau...
- Ben Pirie
Mining Monthly: January Edition
What you need to know: • Gold held flat in January following a big monthly gain of 13% and reaching all-time highs in December, while mining equities lagged. • Besides gold, other precious metals, commodities, and battery metals had a mixed month, while uranium’s strong performance accelerated, up 16% in January and hitting its highest price in more than 16 years. • We attended a busy Vancouver Resource Investment Conference in January. Find our top picks from the conference here. Following a...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
PLOW DOUGLAS DYNAMICS INC.
MRCY MERCURY SYSTEMS INC.
MEI METHODE ELECTRONICS INC.
CGNX COGNEX CORPORATION
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
JKS JINKOSOLAR HOLDING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
MATW MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
ALGM ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS
SHLS SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP
SGML SIGMA LITHIUM CORP
IE IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC
- MarketLine Department
First Majestic Silver Corp. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnershi...
Summary Marketline's First Majestic Silver Corp. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by First Majestic Silver Corp. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Allia...
- MarketLine Department
McEwen Mining Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alli...
Summary Marketline's McEwen Mining Inc. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by McEwen Mining Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investmen...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Consistent growth at higher costs
Pan American Silver (PAAS) provided an update on its FY23 operational performance and FY24 guidance. While total silver production came in below guidance at 20.4Moz and gold output of 883koz was within guidance, the main highlight of the results was the record Q4 gold sales of 270koz (FY23 894koz). FY24 production expectations for gold and silver are broadly in line with FY23 guidance ranges, while costs are seen growing further. Despite our expectations of near-term cost normalisation, industry...
- Ben Pirie
Mining Monthly: December Edition
What you need to know: • Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz. Notably, gold hit an all-time high, reaching $2,135/oz, rising above the previous record of $2,072 in August 2020. • Besides gold, other precious metals and commodities had a mixed month, while battery metals continued to underperform. • The mining equities slightly underperformed broader markets as capital flowed into the TSX & S&P500 on the back of a more defined Fe...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Adjusting valuation on Skarn
Following our short update on the La Colorada Skarn preliminary economic assessment (PEA), we are revising our valuation of Pan American Silver (PAAS) to incorporate the Skarn’s risked NPV. We have also reflected up-to-date commodity prices and lower WACC thanks to the reduction in bond yields. Overall, our valuation of PAAS increases from US$22.7 to US$23.5/share. While the stock has recently been propped up by the strong gold price, we see the upcoming publication of the FY24 outlook and FY23 ...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Skarn PEA confirms its early potential
Pan American Silver (PAAS) released a preliminary economic assessment (PEA) of the La Colorada Skarn project, confirming its potential to become a large-scale operation producing an average 17.2Moz of silver per annum over the first 10 years of its 17-year mine life. At a base case throughput rate of 50ktpd, the company estimates the project’s post-tax NPV8 at US$1.1bn, with an IRR of 14% and a payback period of 4.3 years. We intend to update our valuation shortly to incorporate the PEA and the ...
- MarketLine Department
McEwen Mining Inc - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report
Summary McEwen Mining Inc - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights McEwen Mining Inc (McEwen) is a mining company. The company is involved in the exploration and production of precious metals such as gold, silver and copper commodities. McEwen owns and oper...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Q323: La Colorada continues to underperform
Pan American’s Q3 results did not bring any major surprises at the group level, with lower EBITDA of US$159m, down 22% q-o-q, mainly a result of the continuing underperformance of La Colorada and lower-than-expected gold grades at El Penon. Yet the company reported flat (quarter-on-quarter) net operating cash flow of US$115m and broadly reiterated its FY23 operating guidance. We have revised downwards our near-term earnings estimates on the back of the results. However, our valuation has increas...
- Ben Pirie
Mining Monthly: October Edition
What you need to know: • Precious metal prices were up substantially in October, rebounding from two months of consolidation, significantly outperforming broader markets which were down during the month. Other commodities and battery metals held in relatively flat. • The price of uranium continued to perform well over the last month and resulted in significant equity financings. • Deteriorating economic data leads us to believe we are approaching a long-awaited pivot after both the BoC and the...
FM FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD.
IMG. IAMGOLD CORPORATION
MOZ MARATHON GOLD CORP.
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
RLG WEST RED LAKE GOLD MINES INC
NE.M.BA NEWMONT CORPORATION
EDV ENDEAVOUR MINING CORPORATION
ERO ERO COPPER CORP.
IMG IAMGOLD CORP.
MAI MINERA ALAMOS INC.
ORE OREZONE GOLD CORPORATION
VIT VICTORIA GOLD CORPORATION
ARTG ARTEMIS GOLD
ASCU ARIZONA SONORAN COPPER CO INC
FQM FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD
ERO US ERO COPPER
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - La Colorada to restart after suspension
Pan American Silver (PAAS) has announced that it will begin restarting operations at the La Colorada mine on 16 October. Operating activities at the project have temporarily been suspended since 5 October due to security concerns at the mine site following the concentrate robbery. The company does not expect any impact on the FY23 production and cost guidance from the suspension of production. We maintain our estimates and valuation.
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - La Colorada mine suspension
Pan American Silver (PAAS) announced the temporary suspension of all operating activities at its La Colorada mine in Mexico due to security concerns at the mine site following the concentrate robbery. The company has not yet provided any indication of the potential restart of mining activities. We currently maintain our estimates and valuation, awaiting more clarity on the timing of the restart.
- Ben Pirie
Mining Monthly: August Edition
What you need to know: • The precious metals markets held flat in August, following the solid performance in July; mining equities fell modestly. • M&A continued to be light in August, we believe this is primarily due to the lack of clarity regarding the direction of interest rates. • Safe-haven assets like gold and silver continue to look highly attractive with mining equities trading close to trough multiples, creating buying opportunities for when investment dollars flow back into the sector...
AGI. ALAMOS GOLD INC.
DPM. DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS
DSLV E.S.I. ENVIRONMENTAL SENSORS INC.
EDG. ENDURANCE GOLD
FVI. FORTUNA SILVER MINES INC.
LUG LUNDIN GOLD
LUN LUNDIN MINING CORPORATION
MOZ MARATHON GOLD CORP.
NGQ NGEX RESOURCES INC
ESM.. EURO SUN MINING INC
AGI 1933 INDUSTRIES
TGIF IMPERIAL METALS CORP
III NGEX MINERALS
NGEX NGEX RESOURCES INC.
NGQ:CN ORLA MINING LTD.
OLA 1LIFE HEALTHCARE
ONEM ARTEMIS GOLD
ARTG KARORA RESOURCES INC
FVI AURA MINERALS - AURA33 BZ
KRR E2GOLD INC
AURA33 BZ TRIGON METALS INC.
ETU OMAI GOLD MINES CORP
- MarketLine Department
First Majestic Silver Corp - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Repo...
Summary First Majestic Silver Corp - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights First Majestic Silver Corp (First Majestic) is a mining company. It carries out various activities including the development, exploration, and acquisition of mineral properties to p...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Yamana assets boost mineral resources
Pan American Silver (PAAS) reported a significant increase in mineral reserves and resources estimates, for gold in particular, on the back of the Yamana transaction. Inclusive of MARA, Morococha and Jeronimo, the company’s total proven and probable (P&P) reserves grew 12% y-o-y to 577Moz of contained silver (Ag) and 259% to 13Moz of contained gold (Au). PAAS plans an extensive drilling and exploration campaign for 2023 in order to further upgrade and extend the resource base. While our financia...
- Alison Turner
Pan American Silver - Refining estimates post Q2 results
Pan American Silver (PAAS) reported its first quarterly results that include the assets acquired as part of the Yamana transaction, with Q2 revenues and adjusted EBITDA of US$640m and US$218m, an improved margin of 34%. Despite somewhat weaker than expected numbers, PAAS maintained its operational and cost guidance for FY23, which points to a visible improvement in performance in H2. Escobal continues to advance through the ILO 169 consultation process, with completion of Phase 2 expected by the...
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