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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Results capping already strong subsidiary reporting. DPS beat. Fagron: Acquisition of Pharmavit Europe, active in nutraceutical raw materials. Fugro: Patience please. Kendrion: Sees signs of improvement in EU economy. Proximus: 2026 dividend halved, 2028-30 targets a bit better on lower capex. Proximus: 4Q25 in line EBITDA on weaker sales, FCF up; 2026 guidance below on EBITDA. Recticel: Strong FY25 results, CEO transition seen as a negative

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, FAGR BB, FUR NA, MTLS US, MDXH BB, PROX BB, R...

: ACKB BB, FAGR BB, FUR NA, MTLS US, MDXH BB, PROX BB, RECT BB, WHATS BB

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Proximus (Neutral, TP: €8.3, +0%) Q4 25 and CMD Quick Take: Dividend ...

Proximus is holding a CMD in Brussels today that we are attending. Ahead of that, it has put out a release with FY26, FY28 guidance, and some long-term (FY30) capex and FCF estimates too. We don’t have all the detail yet, but we outline our initial thoughts in this report, and some commentary on the Q4 results too.

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Proximus Targeting € 400m FCF by 2030, dividend cut in FY26

Proximus reported solid 4Q25 results, with the underlying EBITDA of € 437m broadly in line with expectations (kbcse: € 433m, css: € 434m) while the FY25 organic FCF of € 130m came in slightly ahead (kbcse: € 107m, css: € 102m). Although the outlook 2026 was broadly in line, we welcome the lower capex spending of between € 1.20- € 1.25bn (kbcse: € 1.30bn, css: € 1.29bn), resulting in a better than expected FCF guidance for 2026 of up to € 100m (kbcse: € 39m, css: € 24m). By 2030, the group expect...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €43, +28%) Should still be a core holding for ...

At a time when the European telecoms sector has been outperforming strongly, we think DT still stands out as a core holding for 2026 and there is still some 2025 “catch-up” to play out – but with the implied ex-US value at all-time highs, the upside from here now relies more on a TMUS recovery.

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, EBRO FOODS, FERROVIAL, INDRA, MELIÁ, NEINOR HOMES, REDEIA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: AXA, ALLIANZ, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El mercado se estabiliza Recuperación generalizada en la...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Swisscom (Reduce from Neutral, TP: CHF 595, -17%) Sunrise (Reduce from...

The whole EU Telco sector has been on a tear YTD (+18% vs STOXX E600 +5%), as macro factors give support (AI-resilience, sector rotation). For Swisscom and Sunrise this has been augmented by perceptions that Switzerland is a “safe haven” thanks to the strong CHF and low 10-year risk free rate.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Telefonica (Sell, €2.6, -28%) Brazil is trying to save the day – but ...

Q4 results were solid and the new 2026 guidance is marginally ahead of consensus, albeit all the medium-term CMD targets remain intact.

Research Department
  • Research Department

TELEFÓNICA: 4Q’25 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'25 vs. 4Q'24 Results Sales: € 9.174 Bn (-14.3% vs. -15.5% BS(e) and -15.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 3.198 Bn (+88.0% vs. +82.8% BS(e) and +85.3% consensus); EBIT: € -1.775 Bn (€ -511.0 M in FY2024 vs. € -1.300 Bn BS(e) and € -1.203 Bn consensus); Net Profit: € -3.239 Bn (€ -1.003 Bn in FY2024 vs. € -1.201 Bn BS(e) and € -1.425 Bn consensus); FY2025 vs. FY2024 Results Sales: € 36.145 Bn (-12.1% vs. -12.4% BS(e) and -12.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 12.164 Bn (+9.9% vs. +9.1% BS(e) and +9.5% consensus)...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 4T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 4T'25 vs 4T'24: Ventas: 9.174 M euros (-14,3% vs -15,5% BS(e) y -15,0% consenso); EBITDA: 3.198 M euros (+88,0% vs +82,8% BS(e) y +85,3% consenso); EBIT: -1.775,0 M euros (-511,0 M euros en 2024 vs -1.300,0 M euros BS(e) y -1.203,0 M euros consenso); BDI: -3.239,0 M euros (-1.003,0 M euros en 2024 vs -1.201,0 M euros BS(e) y -1.425,0 M euros consenso). Rdos. 2025 vs 2024: Ventas: 36.145 M euros (-12,1% vs -12,4% BS(e) y -12,3% consenso); EBITDA: 12.164 M euros (+9,9% vs +9,1% BS(e) y +9,5%...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 24 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, ENCE, ENDESA, METROVACESA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: N/A. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex se desmarca en positivo Los índices europeos mostraron una reacción mixta a las nuevas amenazas proteccionistas de Trump (mejor p...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 24 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, ENCE, ENDESA, METROVACESA, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. IBEX the one positive note European stock markets showed a mixed reaction to Trump’s new protectionist measures (the periphery outperformed core countries), while companies exposed to the disruption from AI continu...

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