What’s new: Tencent’s reported 2Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Rev growth momentum could continue in 3Q partly driven by resiliency across key business segments. We up our PT from HKD650 to HKD750 on top-line strength. Our updated PT of HKD750 implies a 22.5x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent’s 2Q25 results came in better than expected. Revenue grew 14.5% yoy to Rmb184.5b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.6ppt yoy to 56.9%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.5% yoy to Rmb69.2b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1.3ppt yoy to 37.5% on the back of a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 13% yoy, 3.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$736.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply July's M1 growth accelerated to 5.6% yoy (+1.0ppt), exceeding the 5.2% yoy consensus forecast. M2 growth rose to 8.8% yoy (+0.5ppt), surpassing the 8.3% yoy consensus forecast. However, new bank loans turned negative at -Rmb0.05t, falling well short of expectations (Rmb0.3t). New TSF also disappointed at Rmb1.16t. While outstanding TSF growth improved to 9.0% yoy (+0.1ppt), outstanding bank loans growth weakened to 6.9% yoy (-0.2ppt), suggesting weak priva...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Credit demand remains weak, though money supply improved. Results Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/BUY/HK$6.92/Target: HK$10.00) 1H25: Earnings beat estimates on margins. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY. Raise target price to HK$10.00 Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$586.00/Target: HK$736.00) 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monetisation in online games...
Pelham Smithers is impressed by the strong FY25 Q1 performance in Bandai Namco’s Digital division – ie video games. While the firm has raised its 1H forecasts, there are reasons to think a revision to the full-year as well is not out of the question.
Tencent will release its 2Q25 results on 13 Aug 25. We forecast its 2Q25 revenue growing 11.5% yoy, driven by resilient game grossing and online ad revenue growth. We like Tencent as it is a key proxy for benefitting from the online games sector’s countercyclical resilience feature and the accelerating adoption of AI which has played a role in enhancing cost efficiency and boosting game development productivity. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$650.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China & Hong Kong Property The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mai...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai projects points to further consolidation towards SOEs; potential easing of capital transfer will be key focus for Hong Kong market. Results Launch Tech (2488 HK/NOT RATED/HK$12.03): 1H25: Robust overseas and software business growth; step-up in dividend. Update Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$559.00/Target: HK$650.00): 2Q25 results preview: Strong game pipeline and AI-powered adtech as key catalysts. INDONESIA ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
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