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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Tokyo Game Show Line-Up

In the wake of Gamescom, it is the lead up to the Tokyo Game Show. Pelham Smithers flags what to watch out for in the line-up of eye-catching games.

Alicia Reese ... (+3)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

CoreWeave profitability; DeepSeek’s ASIC try; Semicap; PC pull-forward...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 9 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent 2Q25 Results: Rev Growth Momentum to Continue in 3Q

What’s new: Tencent’s reported 2Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Rev growth momentum could continue in 3Q partly driven by resiliency across key business segments. We up our PT from HKD650 to HKD750 on top-line strength. Our updated PT of HKD750 implies a 22.5x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monet...

Tencent’s 2Q25 results came in better than expected. Revenue grew 14.5% yoy to Rmb184.5b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.6ppt yoy to 56.9%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.5% yoy to Rmb69.2b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1.3ppt yoy to 37.5% on the back of a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 13% yoy, 3.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$736.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 14, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply July's M1 growth accelerated to 5.6% yoy (+1.0ppt), exceeding the 5.2% yoy consensus forecast. M2 growth rose to 8.8% yoy (+0.5ppt), surpassing the 8.3% yoy consensus forecast. However, new bank loans turned negative at -Rmb0.05t, falling well short of expectations (Rmb0.3t). New TSF also disappointed at Rmb1.16t. While outstanding TSF growth improved to 9.0% yoy (+0.1ppt), outstanding bank loans growth weakened to 6.9% yoy (-0.2ppt), suggesting weak priva...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Credit demand remains weak, though money supply improved. Results Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/BUY/HK$6.92/Target: HK$10.00) 1H25: Earnings beat estimates on margins. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY. Raise target price to HK$10.00 Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$586.00/Target: HK$736.00) 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monetisation in online games...

PSA Media & Entertainment: Nintendo (7974 JT) Even More Switched On

Where next for Nintendo? Pelham Smithers explains the many opportunities which are opening up for the company in the wake of the Switch2 launch

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Leisure Products: Bandai Namco (7832 JT): FY25 Q1 Results Review

Pelham Smithers is impressed by the strong FY25 Q1 performance in Bandai Namco’s Digital division – ie video games. While the firm has raised its 1H forecasts, there are reasons to think a revision to the full-year as well is not out of the question.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 2Q25 results preview: Strong game pipeline ...

Tencent will release its 2Q25 results on 13 Aug 25. We forecast its 2Q25 revenue growing 11.5% yoy, driven by resilient game grossing and online ad revenue growth. We like Tencent as it is a key proxy for benefitting from the online games sector’s countercyclical resilience feature and the accelerating adoption of AI which has played a role in enhancing cost efficiency and boosting game development productivity. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$650.00.

Damon Shen ... (+7)
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China & Hong Kong Property The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mai...

Audrey Celia ... (+14)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai projects points to further consolidation towards SOEs; potential easing of capital transfer will be key focus for Hong Kong market. Results Launch Tech (2488 HK/NOT RATED/HK$12.03): 1H25: Robust overseas and software business growth; step-up in dividend. Update Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$559.00/Target: HK$650.00): 2Q25 results preview: Strong game pipeline and AI-powered adtech as key catalysts. INDONESIA ...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - August 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
EXCL XLSMART TELECOM SEJAHTERA
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