reports
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Brava Energia, YPF, Pampa Energia, Canacol, Millicom, YPF Luz, Aegea, C&W Communications, Rumo, Cencosud, Movida, Rede D'Or, Iochpe-Maxion, Minerva, Braskem, BRF
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Another monster month: NSR GEM Top-10 Augus...
Our top picks performed very strongly again in July, marked by a strong recovery from VEON, Millicom and IHS Towers alongside continued momentum at Singtel and Airtel Africa. Heading into earnings season, we continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 01, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
ISAT INDOSAT
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
PBBANK PUBLIC BANK BERHAD
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
GAM GAMUDA BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
CRPU SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
BAM TB BANGKOK COMMERCIAL ASSET MANAGEMENT
- Chris Hoare
Reliance Industries (Buy, TP: INR 1,700, +18%) Q1 FY26 Quick Take: St...
Reliance Industries delivered a record quarterly EBITDA and earnings, supported by a one-off gain from the sale of Asian Paints. Offsetting that, underlying earnings were still up strongly (+25% YoY) as O2C, Retail and Jio posted better margins. Crucially, Reliance Jio now claims to be the largest FWA provider globally supporting our view that FWA is following an S-curve development
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Another decent month: NSR GEM Top-10 July ‘...
Our picks largely had a slightly slower month in June, with VEON seeing sharp profit taking, but a recovery in some of the weaker stocks such as LILAK offset to continue to see overall valuations rise. We continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain heavily undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
Indian Telcos Q4 FY25 review: Stay constructive
India’s mobile sector sustained mid-teen growth again, though we expect a slowdown to high single digits from 2QFY25 onwards once last July’s tariff increase is lapped. Margin expansion remains a theme too. We stay constructive on India with Bharti Airtel as our preferred pick, but would continue to see Singtel as having more upside.
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets
With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
ALSEA ALSEA S.A.B. DE C.V.
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KALLPA KALLPA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
UNIGEL UNIGEL
AMBP3 BZ AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPR
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Bull market continues – NSR GEM Top-10 June...
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Millicom (Buy, TP: $46, +31%) On a path to $1bn EFCF. Upgrade target ...
Following our day spent with Millicom in Miami and Q1 results we review our model. Assuming the Colombian deal closes we now see the company on a path to $1bn EFCF once synergies are delivered. Dividends are likely to rise to over $4/share, driving the shares towards $50. We remain Buyers and upgrade our price target to US$46.
- Chris Hoare
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: YPF, Falabella, Geopark, Canacol, Cencosud, TGS, Millicom, Klabin, C&W Communications, Movida, GOL, Orbia, Minerva, Suzano, Rumo, Investment Energy Resources, Simpar, Ultrapar
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Capex in steep decline; underpins EFCF growth
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
- Chris Hoare
Reliance Industries (Buy, TP: INR 1,700, +26%) Q4 FY25 Quick Take: St...
Reliance Industries closed off FY25 with strong Retail and O2C topline growth, alongside continued strength in Jio’s profitability. The company has also proposed a INR 5.5 dividend per share, which was in-line with expectations.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.72/Target: Rmb17.80) 2024: Satisfactory results; expects strong recovery in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb50.96/Target: Rmb83.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 38.5% yoy, in line. Maintain BUY with target price unchanged at Rmb83.00. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$9.36/Target: US$14.00) 4QFY25: Earnings miss amid ramped-up investments in AI-powered learning. INDONESIA Sector Telecommun...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ISAT INDOSAT
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
AZTECA.CPO TV AZTECA S.A. DE C.V. CPO
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
AMBP3 AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPREEN
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