reports
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality
In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.
- James Ratzer
Telefonica (Neutral, €4.5, +7%) Q3 24 – Revenue, EBITDA and FCF beat
Telefonica’s Q3 results are solid, being marginally ahead of consensus across the board. In particular, strong KPIs in Spain and high organic growth in Brazil stands out, and with all guidance reiterated, we believe there could be some upside to consensus estimates.
- James Ratzer
BT Group (Buy, 220p, +64%) Was 225p Q2 25: Is the share price decline...
BT’s stock is trading off 6% at the time of publication on a quarter where EBITDA beat consensus and all profitability guidance has been maintained. In fact, given the future guidance now also includes an incremental £100m impact from last week’s Budget, the guidance is actually an upgrade.
- Alvaro del Pozo
- Alvaro del Pozo
TELEFÓNICA: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 10.023 Bn (-2.9% vs. -3.7% BS(e) and -3.3% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.946 Bn (-11.5% vs. -2.2% BS(e) and -3.2% consensus); EBIT: € 740.0 M (-30.0% vs. -9.3% BS(e) and -2.6% consensus); Net Profit: € 10.0 M (-98.0% vs. -50.2% BS(e) and -34.5% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 30.418 Bn (-0.3% vs. -0.6% BS(e) and -0.4% consensus); EBITDA: € 9.37 Bn (-2.3% vs. +0.9% BS(e) and +0.5% consensus); EBIT: € 2.803 Bn (-5.8% vs. +1.6% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Net...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Stephane Beyazian
Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items
>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...
- Stephane Beyazian
Telefonica : Q3 2024: better group FCF growth on non-recurring items
>Q3 2024 results 1% with consensus - Q3 2024 revenues are down 3% y-o-y to € 10,023m, due to negative forex changes, and in line with consensus (consensus € 9,983m, ODDO BHF € 10,356m). Q3 2024 EBITDA was down 2.5% y-o-y to € 3,260m or 1% above consensus (consensus € 3,224m). EBITDAaL was down 3.4% at € 2,595m, also 1% above expectations (consensus € 2,564m, ODDO BHF € 2,683m).2024 targets are confirmed: revenue growth of 1%, EBITDA 1-2%A, FCF > 10%. The targets ...
- Alvaro del Pozo
TELEFÓNICA: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 10.023 M euros (-2,9% vs -3,7% BS(e) y -3,3% consenso); EBITDA: 2.946 M euros (-11,5% vs -2,2% BS(e) y -3,2% consenso); EBIT: 740,0 M euros (-30,0% vs -9,3% BS(e) y -2,6% consenso); BDI: 10,0 M euros (-98,0% vs -50,2% BS(e) y -34,5% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 30.418 M euros (-0,3% vs -0,6% BS(e) y -0,4% consenso); EBITDA: 9.370 M euros (-2,3% vs +0,9% BS(e) y +0,5% consenso); EBIT: 2.803 M euros (-5,8% vs +1,6% BS(e) y +3,9% consenso); BDI: 989...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 07 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AEDAS, AMADEUS, ARCELORMITTAL, INDRA, INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL, ROVI, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. European stock markets do not welcome Trump European stock markets saw strong corrections, particularly the Ibex after D. Trump’s victory. On the contra...
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air France-KLM, AMS Osram, Banijay, Ahlstrom, Sappi, Trivium, Verisure, TI Fluid Systems, Telecom Italia, Nexans, PureGym, Nokia, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, Gestamp
- James Ratzer
GERMAN ALTNET UPDATE: What will be the key to success?
Last week, we reviewed the UK altnet market. So this week, we turn our attention to Germany and how the fibre challengers are developing in that market. We have done a lot of work over the past few months on the MDU market in Germany for TeleColumbus and OXG. So now, we specifically focus on Deutsche Glasfaser and the recent UGG/ Infrafibre deal, as these players mount their challenge against DT in the SDU market.
- Jean Danjou
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
PNL POSTNL NV
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FIE FIELMANN AG
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
FUR FUGRO NV
- Bruno Cavalier
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EN BOUYGUES SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Bruno Cavalier
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EN BOUYGUES SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
- Jean Danjou
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
PNL POSTNL NV
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FIE FIELMANN AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
FUR FUGRO NV
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Two more constellations! IRIS² and Apple-GlobalStar
>IRIS²: a high cost, new investments for SES and Eutelsat - The European Commission has awarded a 12-year concession contract for the design, delivery and operation of the IRIS² constellation to SpaceRISE, a consortium composed of Eutelsat, SES and Hispasat. IRIS2 will have 260 low earth orbit satellites (LEO, orbit used by OneWeb/Eutelsat) and 18 medium earth orbit satellites (MEO, the orbit for which SES is the only player). Orange and Deutsche Telekom are partners,...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Et deux constellations de plus ! IRIS² et Apple-Globalstar
>IRIS² : un coût élevé, de nouveaux investissements pour SES et Eutelsat - La Commission européenne a attribué un contrat de concession de 12 ans pour la conception, la livraison et l'exploitation de la constellation IRIS² à SpaceRISE, un consortium composé d'Eutelsat, SES et Hispasat. IRIS2 comptera 260 satellites de basse orbite (LEO, orbite utilisée par OneWeb/Eutelsat) et 18 de moyenne orbite (MEO, l’orbite dont SES est le seul acteur). Orange et Deutsche Telekom ...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
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